Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 25

Date: 2 January 2023, Monday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.7
	5.25	3.4	1.7
	5.85	3.65	1.65
	5	3.45	1.68
	6.07	3.56	1.69
	5	3.5	1.7
	5.5	3.72	1.71	Watch
	5.2	3.55	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↑ (4.81)	3.55 ↓ (4.07)	1.69 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
17.5%

Draw
26.6%

Ipswich Town
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.1%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

22%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	19.4%	72.2%

Lincoln City - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 3 - 8.3%). Ipswich will win (votes: 26 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 57.6% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Lincoln has the most likely position - 17 (8%), has project points - 58, has currently - 28, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ipswich has the most likely position - 1 (25.65%), has project points - 89, has currently - 49, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a good chance of promoted (61%), has a chance of win league (26%).

This event has small quality 25, importance 41, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ipswich is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
30.12.22	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Burton Albion - Lincoln City	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
20.12.22	Southampton - Lincoln City	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
13.12.22	Lincoln City - Everton U21	4:2 ✺
English League One
10.12.22	Lincoln City - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLLWT
- Ipswich Town
English League One
29.12.22	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	Ipswich Town - Oxford United	3:0 ✺
17.12.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
10.12.22	Ipswich Town - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
02.12.22	Ipswich Town - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.10.22	Ipswich Town - Lincoln City	0:1
08.03.22	Ipswich Town - Lincoln City	2:0
18.09.21	Lincoln City - Ipswich Town	0:1
09.03.21	Ipswich Town - Lincoln City	1:1
24.10.20	Lincoln City - Ipswich Town	1:0
25.01.20	Ipswich Town - Lincoln City	1:0
29.12.19	Lincoln City - Ipswich Town	5:3

Upcoming Matches