Match Info

Championship - Round 26

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	2.01	Watch
	5.25	3.9	1.66
	3.69	3.35	2.07	Watch
	3.72	3.42	2.14
	3.47	3.34	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2
	3.78	3.6	2.05	Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (5.18)	3.48 ↓ (3.67)	1.99 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
24.5%

Draw
27.5%

Ipswich Town
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

25.8%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

25%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portsmouth's performance.

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ipswich Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portsmouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ipswich Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	1.4%	87.1%

Portsmouth - Ipswich Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ipswich (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Portsmouth (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (58 of 64 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.49% – 97.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ipswich Town will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Ipswich (votes: 15 - 88.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmid N. (G) 24. Devlin T. 5. Poole R. 6. Shaughnessy C. 2. Williams J. 7. Pack M. (C) 21. Dozzell A. 10. Segecic A. 8. Swift J. 27. Alli M. 9. Bishop C.	28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 24. Greaves J. 4. Kipre C. 5. Matusiwa A. 6. Neil D. 20. McAteer K. 32. Nunez M. 47. Clarke J. 9. Hirst G.
Substitutes
37. Anderson K. 11. Bianchini F. 29. Blair H. 17. Bowat I. 40. Brown J. 26. Bursik J. (G) 55. Dia M. 16. Le Roux L. 20. Waddingham T.	29. Akpom Ch. 31. Azon I. 12. Cajuste J. 8. Egeli S. W. 18. Johnson B. 33. Mehmeti A. 1. Palmer A. (G) 11. Philogene J. 14. Taylor J.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', Pack M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Shaughnessy C. ⚽, Segecic A. (A),
44', 2 - 0, Bishop C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Matusiwa A. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
58', Furlong D. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
58', McAteer K. ↓, Philogene J. ↑,
71', Swift J. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
71', Clarke J. ↓, Egeli S. W. ↑,
71', Neil D. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
81', Nunez M. 🟨,
82', Devlin T. 🟨,
85', Segecic A. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
90+1', Philogene J. 🟨,
90+4', Alli M. ↓, Bowat I. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1.

In recent matches, Portsmouth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ipswich is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ipswich is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Bianchini F. (Knee Injury) Knight J. (Back Injury) Lang C. (Inactive) Murphy J. (Injury) Ogilvie C. (Knee Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Clarke H. (Knee Injury) Hirst G. (Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Portsmouth: Bishop C. (Inactive) Kosznovszky M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Szmodics S. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Portsmouth: 0.86%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	9:10	-1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Ipswich Town - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.97%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
11.04.26	Middlesbrough - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Portsmouth - Oxford United	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Norwich City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth	6:1 ✺
16.03.26	Portsmouth - Derby County	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTLL
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
11.04.26	Norwich City - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Ipswich Town - Birmingham City	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ipswich Town - Millwall	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sheffield Wednesday - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Stoke City - Ipswich Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
27.09.25	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	2:1
English League One
29.12.22	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	2:2
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	0:2
English League One
01.10.22	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	3:2
12.03.22	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	0:0
19.10.21	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	0:4
20.03.21	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	2:1

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