The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leicester City 47%
Draw 28.2%
Stoke City 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
28.7%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
30%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
27.3%
0%
Leicester City - Stoke City Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Leicester will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Leicester: 46.4% – 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Stoke (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Begovic A. (G) 21. Pereira R. (C) 3. Faes W. 23. Vestergaard J. 33. Thomas L. 22. Skipp O. 8. Winks H. 7. Fatawu I. 6. James J. 10. Mavididi S. 20. Daka P.
1. Johansson V. (G) 22. Tchamadeu J. 26. Phillips A. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 3. Cresswell A. 4. Pearson B. 19. Rigo T. 42. Manhoef M. 10. Bae J. 7. Thomas S. 9. Mubama D.
Substitutes
56. Aluko O. 9. Ayew J. 18. Carranza J. 17. Choudhury H. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 28. Monga J. 24. Soumare B. 39. Thomas S. 13. Vieites F. (G)
17. Bocat E. 13. Bonham J. (G) 11. Bozenik R. 29. Cisse L. 14. Donley J. 18. Lawal B. 15. N'Zonzi S. 12. Seko T. 40. Talovierov M.
Coaches
Cifuentes M.
Robins M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Skipp O. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Mavididi S. ⚽, Winks H. (A),
43', Mavididi S. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Daka P. ⚽, Fatawu I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Bae J. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
61', Winks H. 🟨,
62', Rigo T. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
64', Vestergaard J. 🟨,
66', Thomas L. 🟨,
72', Skipp O. ↓, Soumare B. ↑,
83', Winks H. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
83', Mavididi S. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
90+1', Cresswell A. 🟨,
90+2', Fatawu I. ↓, Choudhury H. ↑,
90+5', Begovic A. 🟨,
90+6', Phillips A. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 4.
Leicester has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stoke's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Leicester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Leicester: Evans J.
(International duty)
Kristiansen V.
(Knock)
Page L.
(International duty)
Ramsey A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stolarczyk J.
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
Lawal B.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Leicester: Nelson B.
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Leicester won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:11. (average 2.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Leicester won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).