Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	Ipswich Town		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.75
	2	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.97	3.35	3.65
	2.02	3.66	3.83
	1.91	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.99	3.64	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)	3.55 ↓ (3.71)	3.8 ↓ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
48.3%

Draw
26.7%

Swindon Town
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

20%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	5%	7.5%

Ipswich Town - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 23 in the zone Relegation to League Two).

Ipswich has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Swindon has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Ipswich is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swindon has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ipswich is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League One
15.12.20	Ipswich Town - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
12.12.20	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
05.12.20	Plymouth Argyle - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
01.12.20	Oxford United - Ipswich Town	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Ipswich Town - Charlton Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWTL
- Swindon Town
English League One
29.12.20	Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:4 ✺
19.12.20	Swindon Town - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
15.12.20	Doncaster Rovers - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
12.12.20	Swindon Town - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Gillingham - Swindon Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL

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