Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 35

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Home Park (Plymouth)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)


	Plymouth Argyle		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.75
	4.2	3.9	1.78
	4.25	3.93	1.78
	4.09	3.9	1.8
	4.39	4.04	1.81
	4.33	3.75	1.75
	4.1	3.98	1.8	Watch
	4.3	3.95	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (4.57)	3.92 ↓ (4.09)	1.78 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plymouth Argyle
22.4%

Draw
24.2%

Ipswich Town
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

23.1%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.2%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ipswich Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Plymouth Argyle - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ipswich will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Hazard C. (G) 5. Pleguezuelo J. 17. Gibson L. 22. Galloway B. 29. Sorinola M. 4. Houghton J. (C) 20. Randell A. 14. Miller M. 10. Whittaker M. 9. Hardie R. 18. Gyabi D.	31. Hladky V. (G) 40. Tuanzebe A. 6. Woolfenden L. 15. Burgess C. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 28. Travis L. 20. Hutchinson O. 10. Chaplin C. 21. Sarmiento J. 24. Moore K.
Substitutes
15. Bundu M. 1. Cooper M. (G) 16. Devine A. 8. Edwards J. 27. Forshaw A. 2. Mumba B. 26. Phillips A. 3. Sousa L. 23. Waine B.	16. Al-Hamadi A. 12. Ball D. 2. Clarke H. 4. Edmundson G. 11. Harness M. 30. Humphreys C. 19. Jackson K. 14. Taylor J. 1. Walton C. (G)
Coaches
Foster I.	McKenna K.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2.

Plymouth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ipswich is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Ipswich is a favorite.

There will not play in Plymouth: Forshaw A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Broadhead N. (Muscle Injury) Burns W. (Muscle Injury) Donacien J. (Groin Injury) Hirst G. (Thigh Injury) Williams B. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Taylor J. (Leg Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Plymouth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
24.02.24	Middlesbrough - Plymouth Argyle	0:2 ✺
20.02.24	Plymouth Argyle - West Bromwich Albion	0:3 ✺
17.02.24	Plymouth Argyle - Leeds United	0:2 ✺
14.02.24	Plymouth Argyle - Coventry City	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Sunderland - Plymouth Argyle	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLTL
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
24.02.24	Ipswich Town - Birmingham City	3:1 ✺
20.02.24	Ipswich Town - Rotherham United	4:3 ✺
17.02.24	Swansea City - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
14.02.24	Millwall - Ipswich Town	0:4 ✺
10.02.24	Ipswich Town - West Bromwich Albion	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
28.10.23	Ipswich Town - Plymouth Argyle	3:2
English League One
14.01.23	Ipswich Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:1
25.09.22	Plymouth Argyle - Ipswich Town	2:1
26.03.22	Ipswich Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
30.10.21	Plymouth Argyle - Ipswich Town	2:1
13.03.21	Ipswich Town - Plymouth Argyle	1:0
05.12.20	Plymouth Argyle - Ipswich Town	1:2

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