Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday


	Swindon Town		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.3	3.3	2.15
	3.2	3.65	2.15
	3.25	3.3	2.12
	3.43	3.59	2.18
	3.25	3.4	2.1
	3.44	3.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.14)	3.48 ↑ (3.43)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
28.5%

Draw
27.2%

Charlton Athletic
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

27.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

20.2%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swindon Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlton Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Swindon Town - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Charlton will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation to League Two and 7).

Swindon has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Charlton has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Swindon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Charlton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swindon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Swindon have a series of guest games.

Charlton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League One
15.12.20	Doncaster Rovers - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
12.12.20	Swindon Town - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Gillingham - Swindon Town	2:0 ✺
01.12.20	Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town	4:2 ✺
28.11.20	Oxford United - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW
- Charlton Athletic
English League One
12.12.20	Charlton Athletic - AFC Wimbledon	5:2 ✺
05.12.20	Shrewsbury Town - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
02.12.20	Charlton Athletic - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ✺
28.11.20	Ipswich Town - Charlton Athletic	0:2 ✺
24.11.20	Burton Albion - Charlton Athletic	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
05.09.20	Swindon Town - Charlton Athletic	1:3
English League One
30.04.17	Charlton Athletic - Swindon Town	3:0
12.11.16	Swindon Town - Charlton Athletic	3:0

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