The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jõhvi Phoenix 33.6%
Draw 21.5%
Narva Trans U21 44.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
22.7%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
23.2%
37.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jõhvi Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Narva Trans U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Narva Trans U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jõhvi Phoenix than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jõhvi Phoenix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans U21 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Narva Trans U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, Kudriashov V. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jõhvi Phoenix won 2.
Jõhvi Phoenix is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Narva U21 is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Jõhvi Phoenix has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:17 (averaging 1.8:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jõhvi Phoenix against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:6 goals (averaging 2.3:1.5 per game).
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