Match Info

J2 League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.70	4.10	Watch
	1.75	3.50	3.80
	1.78	3.60	4.00	Watch
	1.82	3.96	4.26
	1.78	4	3.98	Watch
	1.74	3.90	4.20
	1.80	3.70	4.10	Watch
	1.75	3.70	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.74)	3.76 ↓ (4.14)	4.08 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
52.5%

Draw
24.7%

Consadole Sapporo
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

22.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

22%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: Júbilo Iwata will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Niekawa A. (G) 29. Kuwabara K. 2. Danilo Cardoso (C) 30. Yamazaki K. 36. Yoshimura R. 15. Yuri Lara 18. Inoue S. 47. Sato D. 23. Inui T. 31. Iago Teles 99. Victor J.	24. Tagawa T. (G) 39. Kawahara H. 55. Umetsu R. 47. Nishino S. (C) 17. Uchida M. 18. Kido S. 50. Urakami N. 31. Horigome Y. 11. Aoki R. 16. Hasegawa T. 23. Omori S.
Substitutes
77. Fujiwara K. 37. Kawasaki I. 1. Kawashima E. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 19. Nozawa L. 14. Ohara M. 32. Ota R. 8. Tameda H. 7. Uehara R.	29. Kim Geon-Ung 34. Konomi K. 10. Miyazawa H. 3. Park Min-Gyu 22. Safo K. 7. Sarachat S. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 38. Toyama S. 70. Vini Peixoto
Coaches
Akiba T.	Kawai K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', Yamazaki K. 🟨,
41', Nishino S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Iago Teles (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Hasegawa T. ↓, Vini Peixoto ↑,
66', Yoshimura R. 🟨,
69', Inui T. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
69', Victor J. ↓, Ota R. ↑,
73', Kido S. ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
74', Horigome Y. ↓, Park Min-Gyu ↑,
79', Iago Teles ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
79', Sato D. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
80', Omori S. ↓, Sarachat S. ↑,
80', Kawahara H. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
87', Inoue S. ↓, Fujiwara K. ↑,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 14th and 18th in the Relegation - J3 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Bookmakers give the edge to Iwata for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Iwata has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:34 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Iwata against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 16:20 goals (averaging 1.6:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Iwata	10	4	1	5	12:13	-1	13
20	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	10	2	2	6	12:19	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Vegalta Sendai - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Júbilo Iwata - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Albirex Niigata - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
04.10.26	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
26.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Consadole Sapporo	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Vegalta Sendai - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
23.05.26	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	0:1
14.03.26	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:1
Japan J2 League
12.07.25	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	5:1
06.05.25	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	2:4
Japan J1 League
25.08.24	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	0:2
15.05.24	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	1:0
Japan J League Cup
18.06.23	Consadole Sapporo - Júbilo Iwata	2:3

Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide