Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 1d 20h 📅 Remind Me


	Júbilo Iwata		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.55
	2.28	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.62	3.26	2.71
	2.55	3.24	2.71	Watch
	2.50	3.15	2.60
	2.42	3.16	2.57	Watch
	2.47	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.54)	3.19 ↓ (3.27)	2.67 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
36.9%

Draw
28.8%

Sagan Tosu
34.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

28.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.4%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 14th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Tosu may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tosu has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Iwata has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:24 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Iwata against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:13 goals (averaging 1.4:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sagan Tosu	13	5	2	6	14:15	-1	17
14	Iwata	13	4	4	5	14:15	-1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Júbilo Iwata - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
25.10.26	Iwaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
21.10.26	Júbilo Iwata - Oita Trinita	0:0 ✺
17.10.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Júbilo Iwata - Kawasaki Frontale	0:4 ✺
Japan J2 League
10.10.26	Júbilo Iwata - Consadole Sapporo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTTLW
- Sagan Tosu
Japan J League Cup
28.10.26	Sagan Tosu - Kawasaki Frontale	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
25.10.26	Sagan Tosu - Vanraure Hachinohe	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Sagan Tosu - Omiya Ardija	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Sagan Tosu - Avispa Fukuoka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.11.25	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	1:2
22.02.25	Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu	1:0
Japan J1 League
08.12.24	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	3:0
11.05.24	Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu	0:3
Japan J League Cup
24.05.23	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	0:2
05.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu	1:2
Japan J1 League
07.08.22	Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata	2:0

Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu