Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Referee: Sutani Y. (Jpn)


	Júbilo Iwata		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	5.75	Watch
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.6	3.7	5.25
	1.6	4	6.13
	1.53	3.4	6
	1.61	3.75	5.9	Watch
	1.59	3.6	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2)	3.67 ↑ (3.1)	5.73 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
58.6%

Draw
25.2%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

29.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Júbilo Iwata's performance.

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thespakusatsu Gunma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Júbilo Iwata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thespakusatsu Gunma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Júbilo Iwata - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Iwata is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Iwata won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J2 League
07.05.23	JEF United Chiba - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
03.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Tokushima Vortis	2:3 ✺
23.04.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
19.04.23	Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTLWL
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
07.05.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0 ✺
29.04.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Iwaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
28.11.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
15.05.21	Júbilo Iwata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0
25.10.20	Júbilo Iwata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1
30.08.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Júbilo Iwata	2:2
23.09.15	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Júbilo Iwata	2:3
24.05.15	Júbilo Iwata - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2
08.11.14	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Júbilo Iwata	1:1

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