Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 37

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Yamaha Stadium (Iwata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Júbilo Iwata		Tokyo

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.7
	2.42	3.36	2.67	Watch
	2.52	3.5	2.85
	2.48	3.42	2.82	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.62
	2.51	3.41	2.81	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)	3.4 ↓ (3.42)	2.75 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Júbilo Iwata
38.2%

Draw
27.6%

Tokyo
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

27.4%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

27%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Júbilo Iwata aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tokyo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kawashima E. (G) 50. Uemura H. 6. Ito M. 36. Ricardo Graca 14. Matsumoto M. 25. Nakamura S. 37. Hirakawa R. 4. Matsubara K. 23. Croux J. 18. Takahata K. 11. Germain R.	41. Nozawa T. (G) 2. Nakamura H. 4. Kimoto Y. 44. Henrique Trevisan 38. Anzai S. 10. Higashi K. 8. Ko T. 71. Araki R. 39. Nakagawa T. 9. Diego Oliveira 22. Endo K.
Substitutes
13. Fujikawa K. 99. Matheus Peixoto 21. Miura R. (G) 26. Nishikubo S. 15. Suzuki K. 7. Uehara R. 10. Yamada H.	13. Hatano G. (G) 37. Koizumi K. 28. Nozawa L. 11. Ogashiwa T. 30. Oka T. 99. Shirai K. 33. Tawaratsumida K.
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Cklamovski P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Kimoto Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Diego Oliveira ↓, Ogashiwa T. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Anzai S. ⚽, Higashi K. (A),
56', Nakamura S. ↓, Uehara R. ↑,
56', Matsumoto M. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
63', Hirakawa R. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
63', Takahata K. ↓, Fujikawa K. ↑,
66', Araki R. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
76', Ko T. 🟨,
77', Kimoto Y. 🟥,
79', Nakagawa T. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
79', Higashi K. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Matheus Peixoto ⚽, Uehara R. (A),
84', Nakamura H. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Yamada H. (Pen),
90+5', Nakamura H. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
90+11', Croux J. ↓, Nishikubo S. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Iwata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Iwata: Morioka R. (Foot Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Iwata won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:15 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
16.11.24	Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:4 ✺
09.11.24	Júbilo Iwata - Gamba Osaka	3:4 ✺
01.11.24	Vissel Kobe - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Cerezo Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Júbilo Iwata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWL
- FC Tokyo
Japan J1 League
09.11.24	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo	3:0 ✺
03.11.24	Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare	0:2 ✺
18.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.24	Tokyo - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
05.10.24	Tokyo - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
16.06.24	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	1:1
17.07.22	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	2:0
14.05.22	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo	2:1
Japan J League Cup
23.04.22	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo	2:1
15.03.22	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
Japan J1 League
09.11.19	Júbilo Iwata - Tokyo	0:1
12.05.19	Tokyo - Júbilo Iwata	1:0

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