Match Info

Date: 3 October 2021, Sunday


	JEF United Chiba		Matsumoto Yamaga

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.1	3.9
	1.8	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.79	3.15	4.7
	1.83	3.35	5.23
	1.78	3.1	4.8
	1.85	3.3	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.9)	3.21 ↓ (3.25)	4.65 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JEF United Chiba
51.1%

Draw
28.9%

Matsumoto Yamaga
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

28.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

22%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Matsumoto Yamaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JEF United Chiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

JEF United Chiba - Matsumoto Yamaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

JEF United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match JEF United is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches JEF United won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-22.

Including matches at home between the teams JEF United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JEF United Chiba
Japan J2 League
25.09.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	JEF United Chiba - Ehime	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	JEF United Chiba - Júbilo Iwata	1:3 ✺
04.09.21	Sagamihara - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW
- Matsumoto Yamaga
Japan J2 League
26.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1 ✺
19.09.21	Zweigen Kanazawa - Matsumoto Yamaga	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Tokyo Verdy - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:0 ✺
07.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Kyoto Sanga	2:2 ✺
04.09.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - Júbilo Iwata	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
21.03.21	Matsumoto Yamaga - JEF United Chiba	0:1
11.11.20	Matsumoto Yamaga - JEF United Chiba	2:3
12.08.20	JEF United Chiba - Matsumoto Yamaga	3:0
04.08.18	JEF United Chiba - Matsumoto Yamaga	2:3
23.06.18	Matsumoto Yamaga - JEF United Chiba	4:2
14.10.17	JEF United Chiba - Matsumoto Yamaga	5:1
19.03.17	Matsumoto Yamaga - JEF United Chiba	3:1

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