Match Info

FINLAND: YKKONEN

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Harjun Stadion (Jyväskylä)


	JJK Jyväskylä		Gnistan

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.53	Watch
	5.25	3.9	1.49
	5.75	4.25	1.48
	5.84	4.36	1.54
	5.8	3.9	1.47
	5.85	4.3	1.49
	5.4	4.1	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↑ (3.2)	4.09 ↑ (3.2)	1.5 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JJK Jyväskylä
16.2%

Draw
22.5%

Gnistan
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JJK Jyväskylä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that JJK Jyväskylä's form might have worsened.

Gnistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gnistan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JJK Jyväskylä than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JJK Jyväskylä, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gnistan than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gnistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	5.3%	78.9%

JJK Jyväskylä - Gnistan Predictions

Users Predictions: Gnistan will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viljala V. (G) 22. Luoma J. (C) 12. Rasanen R. 21. Hoffren T. 8. Liukkonen L. 20. Salo R. 16. Manninen A. 18. Porkka J. 9. Goljahanpoor A. 17. Venalainen E. 4. Pihlaja O.	45. Koski J. (C) 30. Mabinda J. 16. Rasimus K. 5. Takamaki T. 14. Olander H. 24. Sukunda Z. 6. Woivalin H. 20. Medo 10. Latonen J. 9. Markkanen E. 17. Sarr M.
Substitutes
27. Ake A. 19. Janhunen V. 14. Leivonen A. 29. Osso S. 28. Riihimaki A. (G) 13. Rutanen L. 3. Savela L.	32. Ala-Iso S. 11. Jarvinen T. 23. Liikonen K. 33. Linnas O. (G) 25. Malolo R. 19. Tolonen M. 7. Weckstrom L.
Coaches
Lehtinen T.	Rantanen J.

Preview

Recent matches JJK is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gnistan in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Gnistan have a series of home games.

In this match Gnistan is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches JJK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JJK Jyväskylä
Finnish Ykkonen
04.07.23	SJK Akatemia - JJK Jyväskylä	3:1 ✺
28.06.23	JJK Jyväskylä - KPV Kokkola	0:0 ✺
22.06.23	JJK Jyväskylä - TPS	2:2 ✺
17.06.23	JJK Jyväskylä - FF Jaro	3:1 ✺
11.06.23	JäPS - JJK Jyväskylä	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTTWT
- IF Gnistan
Finnish Ykkonen
02.07.23	Gnistan - KaPa	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Gnistan - HIFK	4:0 ✺
17.06.23	Salon Palloilijat - Gnistan	1:3 ✺
11.06.23	Gnistan - SJK Akatemia	5:2 ✺
04.06.23	Gnistan - JäPS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
21.04.23	Gnistan - JJK Jyväskylä	2:0

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