Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Jahnstadion Regensburg (Regensburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 5
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Montenegro	Sportklub 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 5
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Jahn Regensburg		Elversberg

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.83	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.9
	3.75	3.75	1.87	Watch
	4.25	3.9	1.88
	3.85	3.83	1.89	Watch
	3.7	3.75	1.83
	3.8	3.88	1.88	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.59)	3.77 ↓ (3.84)	1.87 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jahn Regensburg
24.2%

Draw
25.1%

Elversberg
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

24.8%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

24.3%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jahn Regensburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jahn Regensburg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	15.8%	73.7%

Jahn Regensburg - Elversberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Regensburg will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Elversberg will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gebhardt F. (G) 37. Wurm L. 5. Bulic R. 16. Breunig L. 33. Proger K. 8. Geipl A. (C) 3. Hein B. 10. Viet C. 15. Ernst S. 29. Huth E. 20. Ganaus N.	20. Kristof N. (G) 2. Baum E. 19. Pinckert L. 31. Rohr M. 33. Neubauer M. 25. Petkov L. 23. Sickinger C. 17. Schmahl F. 30. Damar M. 24. Schnellbacher L. (C) 10. Asllani F.
Substitutes
25. Bauer J. 13. Bittroff A. 21. Eisenhuth T. 39. Galjen D. 27. Kother D. 11. Ochojski N. 40. Ouro-Tagba M. 23. Pollersbeck J. (G) 14. Ziegele R.	28. Boss T. (G) 11. Durholtz L. 7. Feil M. 27. Gerezgiher F. 18. Mahmoud M. 32. Pantschenko D. 26. Sicker A. 29. Zimmerschied T.
Coaches
Patz A.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ganaus N. ⚽, Hein B. (A),
45+2', Schnellbacher L. ↓, Zimmerschied T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Petkov L. ↓, Feil M. ↑,
70', Huth E. ↓, Galjen D. ↑,
70', Ganaus N. ↓, Ziegele R. ↑,
74', Damar M. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
74', Rohr M. ↓, Mahmoud M. ↑,
77', Geipl A. ↓, Bittroff A. ↑,
84', Pinckert L. 🟨,
84', Gebhardt F. 🟨,
89', Asllani F. 🟨,
90+2', Proger K. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
90+4', Galjen D. 🟥,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 7).

Regensburg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Elversberg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Regensburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Elversberg will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Regensburg: Meyer M. (Broken ankle) Schmidt C. (Knee Injury) Schonfelder O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Jakel F. (Knee Injury) Le Joncour F. (Elbow Injury) Sahin S. (Health problems)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Regensburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Regensburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jahn Regensburg
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Jahn Regensburg - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	8:3 ✺
19.10.24	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Augsburg - Jahn Regensburg	1:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
04.10.24	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL
- SV Elversberg
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Elversberg	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Elversberg - Hamburger SV	4:2 ✺
19.10.24	Preußen Münster - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Elversberg - Kaiserslautern	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
26.04.14	Jahn Regensburg - Elversberg	0:0
23.11.13	Elversberg - Jahn Regensburg	3:1

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