The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paderborn 46.1%
Draw 26.1%
Heidenheim 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
26.4%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
27.7%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paderborn's performance.
Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.2%
14.3%
9.5%
Paderborn - Heidenheim Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 58% โ 94.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
Paderborn has the most likely position - 6 (50.58%), project points - 56, currently - 51, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
Heidenheim has the most likely position - 2 (68.75%), project points - 66, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a good chance of promoted (93%), a chance of win league (23%).
This event has quality39, importance52, match rating46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 0.
Recent matches Paderborn is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Heidenheim is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Heidenheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.