Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 31

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Bundesliga, Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Heidenheim		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.55	4.4	5.5	Watch
	1.54	4.1	5.75
	1.59	4.37	5.76
	1.5	4.2	5.8	Watch
	1.53	4.45	5.55	Watch
	1.54	4.4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.64)	4.32 ↑ (4.07)	5.7 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
61.4%

Draw
21.9%

Magdeburg
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

22.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	3.6%	3.6%

Heidenheim - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Heidenheim will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 11).

Heidenheim has the most likely position - 2 (58.64%), project points - 67, currently - 60, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of promoted (96%), a chance of win league (36%).

Magdeburg has the most likely position - 11 (21.85%), project points - 42, currently - 38, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of promoted.

This event has quality 31, importance 50, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Heidenheim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Heidenheim is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
28.04.23	Greuther Fürth - Heidenheim	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
14.04.23	Hannover - Heidenheim	0:3 ✺
08.04.23	Heidenheim - St. Pauli	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Kaiserslautern - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLT
- FC Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga
29.04.23	Magdeburg - Hamburger SV	3:2 ✺
22.04.23	Eintracht Braunschweig - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Magdeburg - Sandhausen	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Jahn Regensburg - Magdeburg	2:2 ✺
02.04.23	Magdeburg - Hansa Rostock	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.10.22	Magdeburg - Heidenheim	1:1
29.03.19	Magdeburg - Heidenheim	0:0
20.10.18	Heidenheim - Magdeburg	3:0

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