The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heidenheim 71.9%
Draw 17.9%
Sandhausen 10.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
22%
16.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
21.6%
16.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heidenheim's performance.
Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sandhausen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heidenheim that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandhausen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85%
5%
10%
Heidenheim - Sandhausen Predictions
Users Predictions:
Heidenheim will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
Heidenheim has the most likely position - 2 (60.1%), project points - 65, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a good chance of promoted (75%), a small chance of win league (10%).
Sandhausen has the most likely position - 18 (74.2%), project points - 29, currently - 28, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of promoted.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 3.
Heidenheim is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Sandhausen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sandhausen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Heidenheim is certain favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 11 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 32-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-10.