The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dorados 15.9%
Draw 22.6%
Jaiba Brava 61.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.4%
26.4%
50.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.3%
26.3%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorados's form might have worsened.
Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaiba Brava's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Dorados - Jaiba Brava Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Jaiba Brava (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jaiba Brava will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jaiba Brava will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaiba Brava (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Vaal J. (G) 7. Alvarez J. 12. Egana A. 5. Flores A. 15. Galicia C. 16. Martinez D. 33. Parra R. 4. Ruiz L. (C) 14. Sol M. 23. Vargas L. 2. Yanez S.
13. Ruiz G. (G) 22. Clemente J. 16. Dominguez R. 23. Escoboza A. 28. Flores S. (C) 3. Garcia D. 6. Garcia E. 29. Pedroza M. 21. Peralta J. 26. Perez E. 8. Torres E.
Substitutes
20. Araujo D. 10. Bonilla E. 8. Cortes J. 18. Higuera C. (G) 28. L.Suarez 24. Ramirez A. 9. Rengifo J. 27. Sanchez E. 19. Vazquez D. 25. Velazco E.
14. Corona N. 12. Flores A. (G) 2. Gonzalez C. 33. Gonzalez R. 19. Martinez F. 25. Perez O. 4. Rios A. 10. Soto O. 11. Villa R.
Coaches
Saucedo C.
Ruiz M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Perez E. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Pedroza M. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Galicia C. ⚽, Vargas L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dominguez R. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
57', Sol M. 🟨,
59', Egana A. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
60', Peralta J. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
61', Pedroza M. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Vargas L. (Pen),
78', Escoboza A. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
78', Perez E. ↓, Villa R. ↑,
79', 🟨,
80', Vargas L. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
80', Sol M. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Flores S. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
83', Martinez F. 🟨,
87', Flores A. ↓, Bonilla E. ↑,
88', Yanez S. ↓, Araujo D. ↑,
90+7', Clemente J. 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 0.
Dorados has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Jaiba Brava is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Jaiba Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Jaiba Brava is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Jaiba Brava will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
Mexico
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