Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Tamaulipas (Tampico-Ciudad Madero)

Referee: Alba Dorado J. L. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports
Usa	Aym Sports


	Jaiba Brava		Tapatío

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.75	3.55	4.25
	1.82	3.73	4.51
	1.88	3.46	4.00	Watch
	1.62	3.7	4.75
	1.83	3.58	4.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)	3.57 ↓ (3.84)	4.25 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaiba Brava
52.2%

Draw
26%

Tapatío
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Jaiba Brava - Tapatío Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tapatío will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Jaiba Brava (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaiba Brava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ruiz G. (G) 22. Clemente J. 16. Dominguez R. 23. Escoboza A. 28. Flores S. (C) 3. Garcia D. 6. Garcia E. 7. Magana D. 26. Perez E. 10. Soto O. 8. Torres E.	30. Garcia E. (G) 67. Aguayo S. 42. Delgadillo D. (C) 66. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 48. Jimenez L. 60. Ledesma L. 50. Mendez F. 62. Tellez B. 69. Villaseca D. 72. Villegas A. 44. Zamora S.
Substitutes
14. Corona N. 12. Flores A. (G) 2. Gonzalez C. 19. Martinez F. 29. Pedroza M. 21. Peralta J. 25. Perez O. 4. Rios A. 20. Saldivar J. 11. Villa R.	74. Anaya M. 70. Castro A. 46. Egurrola L. 54. Freyfeld E. 71. Montiel Herrera E. A. (G) 203. Nuno R. 47. Ortiz G. 59. Torres C.
Coaches
Ruiz M.	Ortega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Perez E. (Pen),
32', Dominguez R. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Villaseca D. ⚽, Jimenez L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Soto O. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
55', Perez E. ↓, Pedroza M. ↑,
56', Flores S. 🟨,
67', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
67', Tellez B. ↓, Ortiz G. ↑,
67', Mendez F. ↓, Freyfeld E. ↑,
74', Garcia E. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
74', Escoboza A. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
84', Villaseca D. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
84', Ortiz G. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
84', Magana D. ↓, Villa R. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Martinez F. ⚽, Villa R. (A),
90+1', Martinez F. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 1.

Tapatío is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jaiba Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jaiba Brava is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.08.25	Irapuato - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Jaiba Brava - Atlante	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	2:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWTWL
- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.08.25	Tapatío - Atlante	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Tapatío	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Tapatío - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:3 ✺
08.08.25	Venados - Tapatío	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Tapatío - Atlético La Paz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
25.01.25	Jaiba Brava - Tapatío	1:0
09.08.24	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	2:0
30.01.22	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	2:1
24.08.21	Jaiba Brava - Tapatío	1:1
18.02.21	Tapatío - Jaiba Brava	1:0
24.11.20	Jaiba Brava - Tapatío	1:0 penalties
11.11.20	Jaiba Brava - Tapatío	2:1

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