The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaiba Brava 55.7%
Draw 24.8%
Tlaxcala 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
26%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.8%
26.1%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaiba Brava's performance.
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tlaxcala might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaiba Brava that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tlaxcala could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jaiba Brava - Tlaxcala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ruiz G. (G) 22. Clemente J. 23. Escoboza A. 28. Flores S. (C) 3. Garcia D. 24. Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 9. Martinez J. 18. Portales J. 5. Razo L. 31. Rodriguez M. 8. Torres E.
29. Espinoza G. (G) 26. Blanco J. 19. Castaneda S. 17. Castillo E. 9. Christian 2. Gonzalez P. (C) 1. Govea I. 6. Iniestra A. 24. Robles E. 3. Santos E. 31. Silva J.
Substitutes
14. Corona N. 16. Dominguez R. 1. Garcia J. (G) 2. Gonzalez C. 7. Magana D. 19. Martinez F. 21. Peralta J. 4. Rios A. 20. Saldivar J. 10. Soto O.
14. Castellanos E. 7. Hernandez E. 12. Lazaro J. 22. Macias B. 13. Mendoza H. (G) 25. Rojas H. 11. Salomon O. 20. Sanchez A. 5. Sancho J. 21. Zaragoza A.
Coaches
Ruiz M.
Gustavo Leal
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Martinez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Clemente J. ↓, Saldivar J. ↑,
46', Castillo E. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
60', Martinez J. ↓, Magana D. ↑,
62', Robles E. ↓, Castellanos E. ↑,
68', Castaneda S. 🟨,
71', Escoboza A. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
81', Blanco J. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
86', Rodriguez M. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
86', Lopez Gonzalez J. A. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Jaiba Brava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Jaiba Brava is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Mexico
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Ruiz G. (G) 
Martinez J. 
Christian 
Salomon O. 
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