Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Jaraíz		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.35
	1.7	3.44	4.67
	1.72	3.44	4.66	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.6
	1.68	3.38	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.31 ↑ (3.29)	4.61 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaraíz
52.8%

Draw
27.4%

Montijo
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.5%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaraíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Jaraíz - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Jaraíz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Montijo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Montijo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jaraíz is a strong favorite.

We predict that Jaraíz will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jaraíz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Jaraíz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montijo	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6
13	Jaraiz	5	1	1	3	6:9	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.03.26	Moralo - Jaraíz	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Jaraíz - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Villafranca - Jaraíz	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Jaraíz - Don Benito	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Santa Amalia - Jaraíz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWLWW
- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
28.03.26	Montijo - Montehermoso	4:0 ✺
22.03.26	Villanovense - Montijo	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Montijo - Cabeza del Buey	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Llerenense - Montijo	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Badajoz - Montijo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.11.25	Montijo - Jaraíz	1:0
11.05.25	Jaraíz - Montijo	1:0
12.01.25	Montijo - Jaraíz	2:1

Jaraíz - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide