Match Info

Super League - Round 29

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gelora Kie Raha Stadium (Ternate) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Indonesia	19:00	Vidio


	Java United		Persebaya Surabaya

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.75
	1.86	3.72	4.12
	1.82	3.72	3.97	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.8
	1.78	3.48	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.66)	3.52 ↓ (3.85)	3.92 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Java United
50.5%

Draw
26.1%

Persebaya Surabaya
23.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.1%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

22.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Java United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Java United's form might have worsened.

Persebaya Surabaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Java United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persebaya Surabaya than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Java United - Persebaya Surabaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Java United will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Persebaya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saputro A. (G) 23. Sayuri Y. 4. Gustavo (C) 2. Nilson Junior 96. Lestaluhu A. 16. Angulo W. 19. Rustam T. 7. Ciro 10. Tyronne 12. Sayuri Y. 17. da Silva D.	52. Ramadhani A. (G) 2. Catur A. 5. Mitrevski R. 44. Gustavo Fernandes 17. Jefferson 88. Raickovic M. 16. Matos P. 68. Firmansyah T. 7. Rivera F. (C) 11. Perovic M. 77. Malik R.
Substitutes
21. Butuan F. 8. Cardoso L. 29. David S. 9. Drajad M. 6. Igor Inocencio 32. Lauhin R. 69. Lestusen M. 22. Ridwan M. (G) 68. Setiawan T. 88. Slamat A. 56. Syuhada R. 27. Tahar S.	33. Araya K. 14. Ardiansyah R. 82. Arido A. (G) 81. Baihaqi M. 83. Bruno Paraiba 8. Fernando O. 39. Ilham M. (G) 24. Lelis L. S. 78. Mujtaba A. 55. Putra S. 15. Tata M. 26. Wicaksono D.
Coaches
Susilo H.	Tavares B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Gustavo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lestaluhu A. ↓, Igor Inocencio ↑,
47', Matos P. 🟨,
58', Matos P. ↓, Ardiansyah R. ↑,
58', Malik R. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
59', Catur A. 🟨,
62', Tyronne ↓, Cardoso L. ↑,
64', Araya K. 🟨,
65', Perovic M. ↓, Bruno Paraiba ↑,
70', Firmansyah T. 🟨,
73', 0 - 1, Raickovic M. ⚽, Bruno Paraiba (A),
75', Firmansyah T. ↓, Lelis L. S. ↑,
76', Rustam T. ↓, Butuan F. ↑,
85', Ciro ↓, Drajad M. ↑,
85', Angulo W. ↓, Slamat A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Rivera F. ⚽, Ardiansyah R. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

Malut United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Persebaya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Malut United is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Malut United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Malut United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Persebaya	6	2	3	1	6:5	1	9
11	Java United	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Java United
Indonesian Super League
19.04.26	Bali United Pusam - Java United	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Java United - Dewa United	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Arema - Java United	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Java United - PSM Makassar	3:3 ✺
03.03.26	Madura United - Java United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLTTW
- Persebaya Surabaya
Indonesian Super League
17.04.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Madura United	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Persija Jakarta - Persebaya Surabaya	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Persita Tangerang	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Borneo Samarinda - Persebaya Surabaya	5:1 ✺
02.03.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Persib Bandung	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
10.01.26	Persebaya Surabaya - Java United	2:1
17.01.25	Persebaya Surabaya - Java United	0:2
16.08.24	Java United - Persebaya Surabaya	0:0

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