Match Info

K League 1 - Round 3

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Bucheon		Ulsan HD

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.65	3.25	1.98
	3.82	3.5	2.11
	3.67	3.45	1.99	Watch
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.68	3.38	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (4.09)	3.34 ↓ (3.36)	2.01 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucheon
25.4%

Draw
28%

Ulsan HD
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

27.4%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Bucheon - Ulsan HD Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bucheon will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ulsan will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim H. (G) 20. Hong Sung-Wook 29. Baek Dong-Gyu (C) 3. Patrick William 7. Thiaguinho Santos 23. Takahashi K. 14. Kim Jong-Woo 77. Shin Jae-Won 13. Kim Min-Jun 9. Montano J. 11. Galego	21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 28. Lee Jae-Ik 19. Kim Young-Gwon (C) 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 6. Bojanic D. 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 8. Lee H. 99. Yago Cariello
Substitutes
26. An Tae-Hyun 22. Han Ji-Ho 50. Kim C. (G) 24. Kim Dong-Hyun 16. Kim Sang-Jun 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 5. Lee S. 44. Lee Ye-chan 8. Yoon Bit-Garam	18. Heo Yool 29. Jang Si-Young 20. Jeong Jae-sang 15. Jung Seung-Hyun 22. Lee Min-Hyuk 91. Michel B. 13. Ryu Seong-Min (G) 66. Trojak M. 2. Yoon Jong-Gyu
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Kim Hyun-seok

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Jun ⚽, Thiaguinho Santos (A),
13', Thiaguinho Santos 🟨,
33', Montano J. 🟨,
39', Kim Jong-Woo ↓, Yoon Bit-Garam ↑,
39', 1 - 1, Yago Cariello ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Montano J. ↓, Lee Eui-Hyeong ↑,
57', Kim Min-Jun ↓, Kim Dong-Hyun ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Lee Dong-Gyeong (Penalty Awarded),
74', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Michel B. ↑,
79', Lee Dong-Gyeong 🟨,
83', Takahashi K. ↓, Kim Sang-Jun ↑,
83', Shin Jae-Won ↓, An Tae-Hyun ↑,
89', Lee H. ↓, Jeong Jae-sang ↑,
89', Bojanic D. ↓, Trojak M. ↑,
89', Yago Cariello ↓, Heo Yool ↑,
90+8', Lee Jae-Ik ↓, Jung Seung-Hyun ↑,

Preview

Bucheon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ulsan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bucheon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ulsan HD	31	14	5	12	48:44	4	47
11	Bucheon FC 1995 ✔	31	7	11	13	31:42	-11	32

Last Results with these Odds

Ulsan HD - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
07.03.26	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Bucheon	2:3 ✺
08.12.25	Suwon - Bucheon	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Bucheon - Suwon	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
30.11.25	Bucheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.2 TWWWT
- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
28.02.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	3:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.26	Shanghai Port - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	Ulsan HD - Melbourne City	1:2 ✺
09.12.25	Machida Zelvia - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
30.11.25	Ulsan HD - Jeju	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
29.06.22	Ulsan HD - Bucheon	2:1 penalties

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