Match Info

NORWAY: ELITESERIEN - ROUND 29

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: J.J. Ugland Stadion – Levermyr (Grimstad)

Referee: Hagen T. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Finland	Discovery+


	Jerv		Rosenborg

	1	X	2
	6.5	5	1.44	Watch
	6.75	5	1.39
	7	5.3	1.38
	6.2	4.9	1.4
	7.14	4.98	1.45
	7	4.75	1.33
	7.1	5.15	1.38
	7.2	4.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.86 ↑ (6.35)	5 ↑ (4.6)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerv
13.7%

Draw
18.8%

Rosenborg
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

20.1%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

19.7%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	3.1%	78.1%

Jerv - Rosenborg Predictions

Users Predictions: Rosenborg will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Jerv has the most likely position - 16 (86.31%), has project points - 20, has currently - 19, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Rosenborg has the most likely position - 3 (60.26%), has project points - 57, has currently - 53, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has small quality 24, very small importance 7, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Jerv is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rosenborg is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Rosenborg is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Jerv won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Jerv
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.10.22	Tromsø - Jerv	2:2 ✺
23.10.22	Jerv - Viking Stavanger	2:2 ✺
19.10.22	Jerv - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Sandefjord - Jerv	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Hamarkameratene - Jerv	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 TTLWL
- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
30.10.22	Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt	3:2 ✺
23.10.22	Molde - Rosenborg	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Rosenborg - Strømsgodset	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Rosenborg - Vålerenga	3:0 ✺
02.10.22	Kristiansund - Rosenborg	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
10.07.22	Rosenborg - Jerv	3:2
Norwegian NM Cup
09.08.17	Jerv - Rosenborg	1:2

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