Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Cancha de la Asociación Civica (Jicaral)


	Jicaral		Cartagines

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.7
	2.3	3.25	2.65
	2.4	3.45	2.55
	2.35	3.3	2.75
	2.4	3.74	2.77
	2.38	3.25	2.7
	2.38	3.58	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.85)	3.44 ↑ (3.41)	2.69 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jicaral
39%

Draw
26.8%

Cartagines
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

26.9%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jicaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jicaral's performance.

Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartagines might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jicaral than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jicaral that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagines could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Jicaral - Cartagines Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jicaral will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Cartagines will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jicaral: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jicaral won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Jicaral could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Jicaral won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Jicaral won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADR Jicaral
Costa Rican Primera Division
11.05.22	Jicaral - Pérez Zeledón	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Deportivo Saprissa - Jicaral	3:1 ✺
04.05.22	Jicaral - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
01.05.22	Alajuelense - Jicaral	3:0 ✺
27.04.22	Guadalupe - Jicaral	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL
- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
11.05.22	Cartagines - Guanacasteca	3:0 ✺
08.05.22	San Carlos - Cartagines	3:2 ✺
03.05.22	Cartagines - Santos de Guápiles	4:1 ✺
30.04.22	Herediano - Cartagines	4:1 ✺
26.04.22	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
31.03.22	Cartagines - Jicaral	0:0
28.11.21	Cartagines - Jicaral	4:0
15.09.21	Jicaral - Cartagines	0:3
13.05.21	Jicaral - Cartagines	1:0
02.03.21	Cartagines - Jicaral	1:1
05.10.20	Jicaral - Cartagines	1:0
16.09.20	Cartagines - Jicaral	2:2

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