Match Info
Copa Santa Catarina - Round 3Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday
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Joinville |
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Hercílio Luz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.65 |
2.80 |
2.55 |
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 |
2.52 |
2.8 |
2.81 |
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2.55 |
3.01 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.45 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
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 |
2.48 |
3.3 |
2.68 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↑ (2.4) |
2.92 ↓ (3.2) |
2.72 ↑ (2.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Joinville 35.8% | Draw 31% | Hercílio Luz 33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Joinville - Hercílio Luz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 78', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 0.Hercílio Luz is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Hercílio Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Joinville won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Joinville won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;