The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Helmond Sport 47.1%
Draw 26%
Jong AZ Alkmaar 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
25.3%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
24.4%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Jong AZ Alkmaar aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Helmond Sport - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 47.7% โ 95.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Jong AZ (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bergsen M. (G) 2. Ogenia J. 4. Koglin B. 28. Vos D. 5. Poll T. 26. Makanza N. 8. Llonch P. (C) 24. Et Taibi A. 11. Daneels L. 34. Essakkati T. 9. Bajrami L.
1. Zeggen K. (G) 2. Inge K. 3. Natali A. 4. van Duijl B. 5. Esajas J. 6. Twisk N. 8. Budko B. 7. Toppenberg K. 10. Boogaard K. 11. Bouziane W. 9. van Duijn S.
Substitutes
23. Aben K. (G) 22. Dizdarevic A. 47. Geerts D. 41. Geerts J. 19. Ingason H. 36. Leipold A. 6. Ludwig M. 17. Semic L. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 21. Wentges H. (G)
18. de Wit H. 14. Hamdi Y. . Menu M. 23. Schilder K. (G) 16. Schipper J. (G) 19. Smits A. . van den Ban Y. . van der Klaauw D. . Zwart J.
Coaches
Seegers J.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Bouziane W. ⚽,
25', Inge K. ↓, Zwart J. ↑,
34', Daneels L. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Daneels L. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, van Duijn S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ogenia J. ↓, Leipold A. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Bajrami L. (Pen),
56', Budko B. 🟨,
56', 3 - 2, Bajrami L. ⚽, Daneels L. (A),
58', Budko B. ↓, de Wit H. ↑,
58', 4 - 2, Makanza N. ⚽, Essakkati T. (A),
69', Twisk N. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
69', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
69', Toppenberg K. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
70', Daneels L. 🟨,
77', Vos D. ↓, Van Den Eynden F. ↑,
77', Essakkati T. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
82', Bajrami L. ↓, Geerts J. ↑,
88', Poll T. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Helmond Sport is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Jong AZ Alkmaar - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Bergsen M. (G) 
Ogenia J. 
Koglin B. 
Makanza N. 
Llonch P. (C) 
Et Taibi A. 
Daneels L. 
Bajrami L. 
Natali A. 
Budko B. 
Dizdarevic A. 
Ingason H. 
Leipold A. 
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