Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 21

Date: 22 January 2024, Monday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)

Referee: Hardeman T. (Ned)


	Jong Ajax		Groningen

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.65	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.65
	4.33	4.2	1.68	Watch
	4.56	4.43	1.69
	4.4	4	1.6
	4.35	4.2	1.68	Watch
	4.25	3.85	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.39)	4.11 ↑ (3.72)	1.66 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Ajax
21.1%

Draw
22.7%

Groningen
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

24.6%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong Ajax's form might have worsened.

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	12.5%	68.7%

Jong Ajax - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Groningen will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Graaff T. (G) 7. Sarfo R. 3. Aertssen O. 4. Kaplan A. 2. Gaaei A. 5. Salah-Eddine A. 6. Vos S. 11. Banel J. 8. Misehouy G. 10. Fitz-Jim K. 9. Kalokoh D.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 43. Peersman M. 5. Rente M. 20. Blokzijl T. 50. Prins W. 14. Schreuders J. 4. Pelupessy J. 7. Hove J. 40. Valente L. 25. van Bergen T. 29. Postema R.
Substitutes
. Agougil O. . Brandes J. 17. Gorter O. 12. Kremers S. (G) 18. Speksnijder R. . Verschuren N. 19. Vink S.	15. Bakker N. 45. Baron D. (G) 26. Beukers D. . Bouland S. 47. de Jonge T. 22. Emeran N. 17. Lien K. 18. Maatta I. 36. Mariani M. 44. Meijster J. (G) 38. Slor K. 42. Turay F.
Coaches
Vos D.	Lukkien D.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Jong Ajax is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Groningen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jong Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Groningen is a favorite.

There will not play in Jong Ajax: Avila G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Godts M. (Hip Injury) Vos S. (Knee Injury) van Axel Dongen A. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
19.01.24	Willem II - Jong Ajax	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax	2:2 ✺
15.12.23	Jong PSV - Jong Ajax	2:2 ✺
11.12.23	Jong Ajax - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
01.12.23	Den Bosch - Jong Ajax	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTTWT
- FC Groningen
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.01.24	Excelsior - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Bochum - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.23	Groningen - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
19.12.23	Willem II - Groningen	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.12.23	MVV Maastricht - Groningen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.08.23	Groningen - Jong Ajax	4:1

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