Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 19

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday


	MVV Maastricht		Groningen

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.75	1.44	Watch
	5.75	4.4	1.44
	6	4.75	1.47	Watch
	6.44	4.87	1.49
	6.42	4.86	1.48
	6.5	4.6	1.36	Watch
	6.25	4.7	1.45	Watch
	6.2	4.6	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.26 ↑ (4.35)	4.69 ↑ (4.05)	1.45 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MVV Maastricht
15%

Draw
20%

Groningen
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

23.3%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

22.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Groningen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Groningen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

MVV Maastricht - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Groningen will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matthys R. (G) 39. Sy K. 3. Aktas O. 6. El Basri N. 21. Labylle L. 8. Souren N. 31. Kleinen M. 18. Slegers F. 20. Nieling B. 11. Buifrahi R. 10. Kostons K.	21. Jurjus H. (G) 8. Bacuna L. 12. Balker R. 43. Peersman M. 50. Prins W. 14. Schreuders J. 4. Pelupessy J. 7. Hove J. 40. Valente L. 25. van Bergen T. 29. Postema R.
Substitutes
26. Hofland M. 1. Lambrix T. (G) 17. Maho K. 14. Penders S. 9. Remans M. 22. Rocha Livramento D. 25. Tehubyuluw D. 24. Yetimoglu E. 32. Zeegers T.	15. Bakker N. 26. Beukers D. 20. Blokzijl T. 47. de Jonge T. 6. Duarte L. 57. Eggens N. 18. Maatta I. 44. Meijster J. (G) 24. Musampa Nordin N. 38. Slor K. 42. Turay F. 1. Verrips M. (G)
Coaches
Verberne M.	Lukkien D.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Maastricht is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Groningen in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Groningen is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.12.23	Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht	1:2 ✺
01.12.23	MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:0 ✺
26.11.23	Roda - MVV Maastricht	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	MVV Maastricht - NAC Breda	1:4 ✺
10.11.23	FC Oss - MVV Maastricht	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLLW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
08.12.23	Groningen - Telstar	2:0 ✺
01.12.23	Groningen - VVV-Venlo	2:1 ✺
27.11.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Groningen	0:5 ✺
24.11.23	Groningen - FC Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Roda - Groningen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWT

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