Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Go Ahead Eagles		Jong AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.62	4	4.8	Watch
	1.64	4	4.3
	1.64	4.36	5.19
	1.57	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.63	4.25	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.39)	4.08 ↓ (4.84)	4.79 ↓ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Go Ahead Eagles
57.9%

Draw
22.7%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.2%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.1%

16.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Go Ahead Eagles's form might have worsened.

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jong AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+21.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Go Ahead Eagles - Jong AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 19).

Go Ahead is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jong AZ has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Jong AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Go Ahead is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Go Ahead won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Go Ahead won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.20	Almere City - Go Ahead Eagles	3:0 ✺
15.11.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Den Bosch	3:0 ✺
10.11.20	Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 ✺
31.10.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Excelsior	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
26.10.20	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTW
- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.11.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - NEC Nijmegen	0:3 ✺
20.11.20	Excelsior - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:1 ✺
06.11.20	Almere City - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
02.11.20	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	1:1 ✺
23.10.20	FC Eindhoven - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.10.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1
05.04.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0
14.09.18	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	3:2
12.03.18	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0
27.10.17	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1

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