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Current Win Probability
Jong PSV 27.4%
Draw 22.8%
Waalwijk 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
23%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
22.8%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong PSV's form might have worsened.
Waalwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waalwijk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong PSV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waalwijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16%
8%
76%
Jong PSV - Waalwijk Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Waalwijk will win (votes: 19 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Waalwijk: 59.3% – 92.7%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Waalwijk will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schiks N. (G) 2. Merien F. 3. van der Plas S. 4. Monamay M. 5. van de Riet R. 6. Fernandez N. 10. Verkooijen N. 8. van den Berg J. 7. Abed T. 9. van Duiven R. (C) 11. Kluit F.
16. Spenkelink M. (G) 27. Altena J. 3. van Eijma R. 15. Wouters L. 5. Familia-Castillo J. 20. Kuster H. 8. van Kaam D. 6. Roemeratoe G. (C) 14. Lokesa C. 9. Uneken J. 17. Kuijpers R.
Substitutes
17. Bahaty M. 19. Beerens J. 15. Boon R. 20. Holseter-Karlsen P. 23. Ngom K. (G) 14. Raap Y. 18. Sidibe S. 16. Smolenaars T. (G)
55. Held N. 29. Kramer M. 13. Mulder X. (G) 24. Panneflek O. 35. Postma L. 21. Schaapman M. 11. van der Leij T. 10. van der Venne R. 31. Vogels L. (G) 25. Witteveen M. 2. Zorgdrager B.
Coaches
Schaars S.
Duits S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, van Duiven R. ⚽, Kluit F. (A),
32', Kuster H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, van Duiven R. ⚽, Kluit F. (A),
56', van den Berg J. 🟨,
57', 3 - 0, Abed T. ⚽,
59', Kluit F. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
62', Kuster H. ↓, Panneflek O. ↑,
62', Kuijpers R. ↓, van der Leij T. ↑,
65', Monamay M. 🟨,
71', Roemeratoe G. ↓, Zorgdrager B. ↑,
71', van Duiven R. ↓, Beerens J. ↑,
72', Merien F. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
82', Altena J. ↓, Schaapman M. ↑,
82', Uneken J. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
87', van den Berg J. ↓, Holseter-Karlsen P. ↑,
87', Fernandez N. ↓, Raap Y. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, van der Leij T. ⚽, Panneflek O. (A),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Waalwijk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Waalwijk is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Jong PSV: Thomas A.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Waalwijk: van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Jong PSV: Koller J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Waalwijk: van Gelderen L.
(Knock)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:16. (average 2.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 3:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Waalwijk - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.3%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
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Schiks N. (G) 
Monamay M. 
Abed T. 
van Eijma R. 
Familia-Castillo J. 
Holseter-Karlsen P. 
Raap Y. 
Sidibe S. 
