Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 21

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht)

Referee: Boel N. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2


	Jong Utrecht		Roda

	1	X	2
	2.55	4	2.3	Watch
	2.48	3.95	2.42
	2.61	4.01	2.36
	2.51	4.12	2.36	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.38
	2.52	3.78	2.39	Watch
	2.54	3.8	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.56)	3.92 ↓ (3.99)	2.37 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
36.8%

Draw
23.8%

Roda
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

23.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

22.7%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roda than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	31.2%	25%

Jong Utrecht - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Roda will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Utrecht: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Roda (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Roda (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gadellaa K. (G) 2. van der Wegen S. 3. Kooy W. (C) 14. Mukeh J. 5. Kloosterboer P. 10. El Arguioui R. 6. van Ommeren J. 8. Agougil O. 7. Jensen M. 9. van de Haar J. 11. Menzo B.	1. Treichel J. (G) 22. Kruiver J. 3. Tol M. 15. Beerten L. 5. Jansen K. 8. Muller J. P. 4. Nisbet J. 17. Lajud Martinez D. 14. Breij M. 11. Griffith I. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)
Substitutes
22. den Boggende T. 20. Dundas N. 19. Ebite S. 21. Edhart L. 12. Ghaddari M. 16. Jenner I. 32. Oladipo L. (G) 15. Plantinga V. 18. Sneijder J. 31. Tsankov M. (G) 13. Viereck N.	16. Cooper-Love J. 26. El Meliani R. 28. Foss J. 35. Janssen F. 20. Leijten R. 34. Maiorano L. 7. Seedorf C. 23. Steins J. (G) 29. Takidine I. 2. Timmermans J. 21. Zich B. (G)
Coaches
Otten M.	van Dessel K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Beerten L. ⚽, Muller J. P. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Kruiver J. ⚽, Griffith I. (A),
36', 1 - 2, El Arguioui R. ⚽, van der Wegen S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jensen M. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
53', Breij M. 🟨,
56', Lajud Martinez D. ↓, Seedorf C. ↑,
57', Menzo B. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
65', Seedorf C. 🟨,
66', van den Hurk A. ↓, Cooper-Love J. ↑,
66', van Ommeren J. ↓, Jenner I. ↑,
72', Mukeh J. ↓, Viereck N. ↑,
84', Kruiver J. 🟨,
88', Treichel J. 🟨,
89', Viereck N. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 3, Breij M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 1.

Jong Utrecht is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Roda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jong Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Roda: Kother T. (Knee Injury) Paulissen M. (Knee Injury) Schwirten J. (Knee Injury) Van den Buijs D. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z. (Inactive) Jensen M. (Injury) Ohio N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Roda: Jansen K. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht	1:4 ✺
08.12.25	Jong Utrecht - De Graafschap	2:3 ✺
28.11.25	Dordrecht - Jong Utrecht	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Jong Utrecht - Den Bosch	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	Jong PSV - Jong Utrecht	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WLWWT
- Roda JC
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.12.25	Roda - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2 penalties ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.12.25	De Graafschap - Roda	2:3 ✺
05.12.25	Roda - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
30.11.25	MVV Maastricht - Roda	0:0 ✺
25.11.25	Roda - Dordrecht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.11.25	Roda - Jong Utrecht	1:1
24.01.25	Roda - Jong Utrecht	3:0
22.11.24	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:3
26.01.24	Roda - Jong Utrecht	0:0
01.09.23	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:0
06.03.23	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:3
28.10.22	Roda - Jong Utrecht	4:1

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