Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch (Utrecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ordelmans J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	ESPN 2


	Jong Utrecht		Roda

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.30	3.40	1.98
	3.25	3.45	2.08	Watch
	3.31	3.57	2.17
	3.24	3.77	2.04	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.14
	3.11	3.51	2.16	Watch
	3	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.56)	3.51 ↓ (3.83)	2.09 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong Utrecht
29.1%

Draw
26.4%

Roda
44.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

24.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.8%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Roda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roda than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Roda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Jong Utrecht - Roda Predictions

Users Predictions: Roda will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eppink M. (G) 2. Sbai Y. 3. Schuldes J. 14. Kloosterboer P. 5. Plantinga V. (C) 8. van Ommeren J. 6. Kooy W. 7. Pohl F. 11. Chigozie Owen E. 9. Omorowa R. 10. Ghaddari M.	1. Treichel J. (G) 3. Tol M. 33. Van den Buijs D. 15. Beerten L. 17. Peixoto G. 11. Dorenbosch D. 4. Nisbet J. 5. Jansen K. 7. Seedorf C. 6. Paulissen M. 9. van den Hurk A. (C)
Substitutes
13. Aslani A. 99. Beulens N. 79. den Boggende T. 78. Dundas N. 31. Eversen J. (G) 16. Goes K. 22. Havelka M. 98. Laaouina D. 97. Menzo B. 96. Rietveld L. 32. Tsankov M. (G)	20. Bentoumi M. 19. Crabu N. 24. Deom J. 22. Khoums R. 32. Maoujoudi N. 25. Marsman B. 8. Mensah J. 10. Schenten F. 26. Sleegers J. 21. Stojcevic M. (G) 14. van den Berg X. 2. Verheij L.
Coaches
Otten M.	Penders R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Ghaddari M. ⚽, Kooy W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Ghaddari M. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Dorenbosch D. ⚽, Seedorf C. (A),
65', Pohl F. ↓, Laaouina D. ↑,
65', Omorowa R. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
65', Kloosterboer P. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
71', Jansen K. ↓, Marsman B. ↑,
71', Peixoto G. ↓, van den Berg X. ↑,
71', van Ommeren J. ↓, den Boggende T. ↑,
77', Seedorf C. ↓, Schenten F. ↑,
78', Paulissen M. ↓, Mensah J. ↑,
82', Schuldes J. ↓, Beulens N. ↑,
85', Marsman B. 🟨,
88', 1 - 2, van den Hurk A. ⚽, van den Berg X. (A),
90', Nisbet J. ↓, Verheij L. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 20th and 7th in the Promotion - Eredivisie (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Roda holding a narrow advantage.

Doubtful / questionable for Roda: Khaldi Z. (Illness).

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Jong Utrecht has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:31 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jong Utrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:14 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Roda	12	6	4	2	15:11	4	22
20	Jong Utrecht	12	2	1	9	19:31	-12	7

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Roda: 5.22% Jong Utrecht: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Roda - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.4%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.10.26	De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	1:3 ✺
14.09.26	Jong Utrecht - Jong Ajax	6:1 ✺
11.09.26	NAC Breda - Jong Utrecht	2:3 ✺
07.09.26	Jong Utrecht - FC Eindhoven	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 LLWWT
- Roda JC
Dutch Eerste Divisie
09.10.26	Roda - Jong PSV	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	VVV-Venlo - Roda	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Roda - Waalwijk	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Jong Ajax - Roda	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Roda - Vitesse	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
22.12.25	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:3
01.11.25	Roda - Jong Utrecht	1:1
24.01.25	Roda - Jong Utrecht	3:0
22.11.24	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:3
26.01.24	Roda - Jong Utrecht	0:0
01.09.23	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:0
06.03.23	Jong Utrecht - Roda	1:3

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