Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Juárez)

Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, NBC Universo


	Juárez		Chivas Guadalajara

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.68
	4.7	3.55	1.72
	5.25	3.77	1.68
	4.4	3.2	1.73
	4.67	3.61	1.82	Watch
	5	3.66	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (3.58)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	1.73 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juárez
19.5%

Draw
26.4%

Chivas Guadalajara
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

28.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juárez's form might have worsened.

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Juárez will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Juárez (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Guadalajara (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 1 - 25%). Guadalajara (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 2. Murillo J. 3. Mosquera M. 237. Lopez E. 5. Garcia D. 18. Martinez Yepez H. E. 9. Madson 21. Ricardinho 11. Puma 19. Estupinan O.	1. Rangel R. (G) 7. Romo L. (C) 2. Castillo J. 5. Gonzalez B. 23. Aguirre D. 37. Ledezma R. 6. Govea O. 11. Gutierrez B. 25. Alvarado R. 10. Alvarez E. 34. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
22. Aquino J. 29. Ayon E. 24. Diaz B. (G) 13. Fulgencio R. 8. Guilherme Castilho 198. Juarez Ricardo 208. Larios I. 26. Manriquez J. 14. Ochoa D. 10. Pizarro R.	26. Camberos H. 19. Campillo Del Campo D. 24. Gomez M. 225. Inda C. 17. Marin R. 31. Padilla Y. 226. Sandoval S. 20. Sepulveda A. 4. Tapias M. 13. Whalley O. (G)
Coaches
Caixinha P.	Milito G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Ledezma R. 🟨,
45+1', Ricardinho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
66', Estupinan O. ↓, Ayon E. ↑,
66', Lopez E. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
68', Gonzalez A. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
77', Ricardinho ↓, Guilherme Castilho ↑,
78', Madson ↓, Fulgencio R. ↑,
78', Ledezma R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
79', Alvarez E. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
79', Alvarado R. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
82', Romo L. 🟨,
86', Gutierrez B. ↓, Marin R. ↑,
90', Murillo J. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Padilla Y. ⚽, Marin R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Juárez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guadalajara is the team to beat.

There will not play in Guadalajara: Tapias M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Juárez: Martinez Yepez H. E. (Injury) Mayorga A. (Inactive) Ortiz A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guadalajara: Campillo Del Campo D. (Foot Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guadalajara Chivas	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19
18	Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Juárez
Mexican Liga MX
09.01.26	Mazatlan - Juárez	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Toluca - Juárez	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Juárez - Toluca	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	Juárez - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Tijuana - Juárez	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLWL
- Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX
10.01.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.01.26	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Irapuato - Chivas Guadalajara	0:4 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
30.11.25	Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara	3:2 ✺
27.11.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
16.08.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	1:2
15.03.25	Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1
31.08.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	5:0
10.02.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	2:1
18.08.23	Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1
28.01.23	Juárez - Chivas Guadalajara	1:2
02.07.22	Chivas Guadalajara - Juárez	0:0

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