Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	NBC Universo, Telemundo


	Chivas Guadalajara		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4
	1.82	3.7	3.95	Watch
	1.81	3.86	4.17
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.82	3.58	4.09	Watch
	1.83	3.66	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)	3.64 ↑ (3.44)	4.1 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chivas Guadalajara
51.6%

Draw
25.6%

Pachuca
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guadalajara: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) 7. Romo L. (C) 2. Castillo J. 5. Gonzalez B. 23. Aguirre D. 37. Ledezma R. 6. Govea O. 10. Alvarez E. 25. Alvarado R. 11. Gutierrez B. 34. Gonzalez A.	25. Moreno C. (C) 13. Berlanga J. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 2. Barreto S. D. 185. Contreras A. 5. Pedraza P. 26. Bautista A. 7. Quinones L. 28. Montiel E. 18. Dominguez A. 29. Kenedy
Substitutes
26. Camberos H. 56. Chavez A. 24. Gomez M. 225. Inda C. 17. Marin R. 31. Padilla Y. 226. Sandoval S. 20. Sepulveda A. 4. Tapias M. 13. Whalley O. (G)	184. Alfaro C. 99. Cadiz J. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 198. Gonzalez O. 267. Hernandez C. 11. Idrissi O. 22. Mozo A. 16. Rivera C. 23. Rondon S. 14. Sanchez C.
Coaches
Milito G.	Solari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Gonzalez A. ⚽,
45+5', 2 - 0, Aguirre D. ⚽, Alvarez E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedraza P. ↓, Rondon S. ↑,
55', Contreras A. 🟨,
62', Ledezma R. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Sepulveda A. ↑,
67', Quinones L. ↓, Rivera C. ↑,
67', Contreras A. ↓, Hernandez C. ↑,
68', Alvarado R. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
78', Kenedy ↓, Idrissi O. ↑,
83', Dominguez A. 🟨,
86', Gutierrez B. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
86', Alvarez E. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
88', Dominguez A. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 4.

Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guadalajara is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Guadalajara: Campillo Del Campo D. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Pachuca: Garcia Caprizo B. A. (Red Card) Guzman V. (Red Card) Valencia E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Guadalajara: Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury) Tapias M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Guadalajara Chivas	10	5	3	2	17:10	7	18
12	Pachuca	10	3	3	4	15:11	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chivas Guadalajara
Club Friendly
03.01.26	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Irapuato - Chivas Guadalajara	0:4 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
30.11.25	Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara	3:2 ✺
27.11.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Cruz Azul	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Monterrey	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTW
- CF Pachuca
Club Friendly
29.12.25	Tlaxcala - Pachuca	1:4 ✺
23.12.25	Pachuca - Atlante	0:4 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
23.11.25	Juárez - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Pachuca - UNAM	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Santos Laguna - Pachuca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
02.11.25	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1
22.02.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca	2:1
19.10.24	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	0:2
Club Friendly
23.06.24	Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca	0:3
Mexican Liga MX
13.04.24	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	0:1
23.09.23	Chivas Guadalajara - Pachuca	0:0
11.02.23	Pachuca - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1

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