Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday


	Juan Aurich		Comerciantes Belén

	1	X	2
	3.31	2.71	2.03
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.54	2.84	2.14
	9.2	4.5	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↓ (5.93)	3.26 ↑ (2.44)	1.91 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Aurich
20.1%

Draw
29.5%

Comerciantes Belén
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.4%

35%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

33.2%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Aurich's performance.

Comerciantes Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Belén than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Belén Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Juan Aurich will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Comerciantes will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quiroz R. (G) 25. Alfani R. 6. Carrillo L. 7. Chavez N. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 27. Lopez A. 10. Lugo K. 32. Peralta S. 20. Perez F. 33. Rodriguez Carreno D. A. 21. Salcedo J.	1. Vasquez E. (G) 28. Chipao R. 27. Cortes Armelo M. 26. Guevara R. 31. Navarro J. 8. Pinedo B. 23. Reategui P. 12. Salas L. 25. Silva S. 17. Vela P. 9. Zambrano J.
Substitutes
11. Almircar Rai C. C. 22. Cieza C. 23. Diaz L. 24. Larrea F. (G) 19. Malpartida M. 2. Pacheco O. 13. Reyes O.	11. Cenepo G. 29. Correa R. 6. Davila I. 19. Dominguez J. 5. Hoyos H. 16. Romero L. 21. Sanchez K. (G)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Juan Aurich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Comerciantes is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Juan Aurich won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
13.09.23	Juan Aurich - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:0 ✺
06.09.23	Ayacucho - Juan Aurich	2:1 ✺
30.08.23	Juan Aurich - Los Chankas	1:1 ✺
23.08.23	Carlos Stein - Juan Aurich	1:1 ✺
16.08.23	Juan Aurich - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTTW
- AD Comerciantes Belén
Peruvian Liga 2
21.09.23	Comerciantes Belén - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
13.09.23	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Belén	5:0 ✺
07.09.23	Comerciantes Belén - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2 ✺
30.08.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
22.08.23	Comerciantes Belén - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
02.07.23	Comerciantes Belén - Juan Aurich	1:0

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