Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 14 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado (Quito)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sport 1+


	LDU Quito		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4	6
	1.52	4.15	5.95	Watch
	1.52	4.34	6.4
	1.52	4.34	6.37
	1.44	4.2	5.8
	1.53	3.99	6.49	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	4.14 ↑ (4)	6.19 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Quito
62.2%

Draw
22.7%

Junior Barranquilla
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.1%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

22.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Quito than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

LDU Quito - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. LDU Quito will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Junior will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LDU Quito: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Dominguez A. (G) 14. Quinteros J. 3. Mina R. 6. Rodriguez F. 33. Quinonez L. 8. Estupinan L. 88. Angulo M. 18. Piovi L. (C) 9. Alzugaray L. 11. Estrada M. 19. Arce A.	77. Mele S. (G) 21. Pacheco W. 18. Olivera E. 28. Pena J. 12. Fuentes G. 99. Enamorado J. 6. Moreno D. 24. Cantillo V. 8. Chara Y. 17. Perez M. 70. Bacca C. (C)
Substitutes
4. Ade R. 10. Alvarado A. 35. Charcopa J. 28. Espinoza J. 7. Jan Hurtado 12. Minda E. (G) 16. Parrales M. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 15. Villamil G. 24. Zanini A.	7. Berrio L. 19. Cantillo C. 88. Castrillon B. 25. Ceballos B. 10. Gonzalez L. 3. Herrera E. 80. Hinojosa R. 30. Martinez J. (G) 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 2. Mena Posada H. H. 23. Rodriguez S. 13. Velez Carey J. J.
Coaches
Alcacer J.	Reyes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Pacheco W. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Enamorado J. ⚽, Perez M. (A),
45', Mina R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Enamorado J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
56', Bacca C. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
66', Estupinan L. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
67', Cantillo V. ↓, Velez Carey J. J. ↑,
73', Chara Y. ↓, Ceballos B. ↑,
73', Moreno D. ↓, Berrio L. ↑,
76', Alzugaray L. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
85', Quinonez L. ↓, Ramirez Leon B. J. ↑,

Preview

LDU Quito is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Junior is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

LDU Quito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match LDU Quito is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches LDU Quito won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Quito
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
11.05.24	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
08.05.24	Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.05.24	Mushuc Runa - LDU Quito	0:1 ✺
30.04.24	Libertad Loja - LDU Quito	2:3 ✺
27.04.24	LDU Quito - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWWW
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
11.05.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.24	Universitario de Deportes - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
04.05.24	Junior Barranquilla - Millonarios	2:1 ✺
28.04.24	Deportivo Cali - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
23.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - LDU Quito	1:1

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