Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 19

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Castelão (Fortaleza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Mexico	Fanatiz
Portugal	Canal 11
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	Fanatiz


	Fortaleza		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	3	Watch
	2.5	3.1	3
	2.45	3	3
	2.56	3.11	3.17
	6.57	3.75	1.55	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5
	2.55	3.08	3.08	Watch
	3	2.95	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.04)	3.11 ↓ (3.11)	2.72 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
31.6%

Draw
31.9%

Botafogo RJ
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

30.2%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Botafogo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 2. Tinga (C) 13. Kuscevic B. 39. Gustavo Mancha 36. Weverson 88. Lucas Sasha 5. Pereira M. 80. Herrera J. 38. Lucca Prior 26. Breno Lopes 18. Deyverson	24. Leo Linck (G) 2. Vitinho 35. Danilo 57. David Ricardo 13. Alex Telles (C) 28. Newton 21. Marcal 7. Artur 10. Savarino J. 8. Montoro A. 98. Arthur Cabral
Substitutes
77. Andrade K. 3. Avila G. 27. Bareiro A. 33. Britez E. 16. Diogo Barbosa 8. Emmanuel Martinez 23. Leite H. (G) 9. Lucero J. 14. Mancuso E. 11. Marinho 20. Matheus Rossetto 22. Yago Pikachu	30. Correa J. 39. Gonzalo Mastriani 48. Huguinho 47. Jeffinho 53. Kaua Branco 77. Kauan Lindes 19. Kayke 11. Matheus Martins 16. Nathan Fernandes 4. Ponte M. 1. Raul Steffens (G) 23. Rodriguez S.
Coaches
Alves R.	Ancelotti D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Gustavo Mancha 🟥,
13', Deyverson ↓, Avila G. ↑,
14', 0 - 1, Marcal ⚽, Alex Telles (A),
45+5', 0 - 2, Arthur Cabral ⚽, Montoro A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Pereira M. ↓, Matheus Rossetto ↑,
46', Montoro A. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Marcal ⚽, Arthur Cabral (A),
53', 0 - 4, David Ricardo ⚽, Savarino J. (A),
58', Savarino J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
58', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
58', Herrera J. ↓, Bareiro A. ↑,
58', Breno Lopes ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
65', Lucca Prior ↓, Yago Pikachu ↑,
67', Danilo ↓, Huguinho ↑,
71', Bareiro A. 🟨,
74', Arthur Cabral ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
75', Kuscevic B. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 5, Matheus Martins ⚽, Alex Telles (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0.

In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Botafogo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Fortaleza: Brenno (Finger Injury) Britez E. (Muscle Injury) Bruninho (Injury) Joao Ricardo (Finger Injury) Moises (Thigh Injury) Pochettino T. (Knee Injury) Ze Welison (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Botafogo: Allan (Yellow Cards) Barboza A. (Yellow Cards) Bastos (Knee Injury) Cuiabano (Injury) John Victor (Inactive) Kaio (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortaleza: Deyverson (Injury) Lucca Prior (Injury) Marinho (Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo: Marlon Freitas (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortaleza won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Fortaleza - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Botafogo RJ - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.86%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
03.08.25	Corinthians - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
29.07.25	Grêmio - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Fortaleza - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Fortaleza - Bahia	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWTL
- Botafogo RJ
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.08.25	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.07.25	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.25	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Sport Recife - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
31.08.24	Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza	2:0
12.05.24	Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ	1:1
23.11.23	Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ	2:2
10.06.23	Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza	2:0
04.09.22	Fortaleza - Botafogo RJ	1:3
15.05.22	Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza	3:1
22.11.20	Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza	1:2

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