Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Castellammare di Stabia)

Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Juve Stabia		Brescia

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.8	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3	3.5	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3.96
	2.17	3.03	3.87	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.11	3.24	3.71	Watch
	2.2	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.25)	3.08 ↓ (3.14)	3.62 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juve Stabia
43.5%

Draw
30.5%

Brescia
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Juve Stabia - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Juve Stabia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 23. Folino F. 24. Varnier M. 6. Bellich M. 15. Floriani R. 55. Leone G. (C) 37. Maistro F. 10. Pierobon C. 27. Candellone L. 98. Mosti N. 9. Adorante A.	1. Lezzerini L. (G) 24. Dickmann L. 32. Papetti A. 15. Cistana A. 18. Jallow A. 26. Bertagnoli M. 6. Verreth M. 39. Besaggio M. 23. Galazzi N. 29. Borrelli G. 9. Bianchi F.
Substitutes
90. Artistico G. 13. Baldi M. 5. Di Marco T. 29. Fortini N. 25. Gerbo A. 1. Matosevic K. (G) 14. Meli M. 99. Piovanello E. 11. Piscopo K. 3. Rocchetti Y. 4. Ruggero M. 7. Zuccon F.	22. Andrenacci L. (G) 16. Buhagiar T. 5. Calvani G. 19. Corrado N. 7. Juric A. 11. Moncini G. 20. Nuamah P. 27. Olzer G. 4. Paghera F.
Coaches
Pagliuca G.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Thiam D. 🟨,
15', Varnier M. 🟥,
27', Besaggio M. 🟨,
32', Mosti N. ↓, Rocchetti Y. ↑,
44', Rocchetti Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Besaggio M. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
46', Maistro F. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
54', Galazzi N. 🟨,
59', Galazzi N. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
59', Bianchi F. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
68', Candellone L. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
68', Pierobon C. ↓, Zuccon F. ↑,
71', Dickmann L. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
81', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Paghera F. ↑,
86', Adorante A. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
90+1', Leone G. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Juve Stabia will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Brescia: Adorni D. (Yellow Cards) Fogliata R. (Injury) Paghera F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Morachioli G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brescia: Bisoli D. (Injury) Galazzi N. (Injury) Moncini G. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juve Stabia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.4:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Juve Stabia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
10.11.24	Juve Stabia - Spezia	0:3 ✺
02.11.24	Carrarese - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
29.10.24	Juve Stabia - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Nuova Cosenza - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Juve Stabia - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTTTL
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
09.11.24	Brescia - Nuova Cosenza	2:3 ✺
03.11.24	Sampdoria - Brescia	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Brescia - Spezia	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Cesena - Brescia	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Brescia - Sassuolo	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.05.14	Brescia - Juve Stabia	4:1
26.12.13	Juve Stabia - Brescia	1:2
28.01.13	Juve Stabia - Brescia	0:0
01.09.12	Brescia - Juve Stabia	2:0
31.01.12	Brescia - Juve Stabia	N/A

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