Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Juventud de Las Piedras		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.15	3.2	2.18
	2.96	3.38	2.52
	3.22	3.25	2.25
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.2	3.26	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.54)	3.21 ↓ (3.28)	2.25 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
29.9%

Draw
28.9%

Liverpool Montevideo
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

28.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

27.2%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Juventud de Las Piedras - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (C) 5. Morosini D. 2. Pernicone P. 28. Risso F. 16. Rabino R. 14. Roldan L. 21. Perez F. 11. Lago P. 37. Peralta R. 15. Cruz A. 80. Mimbacas F.	25. Campana M. (G) 4. Perdomo F. 15. Laquidain S. 23. Castillo E. 27. Romero D. 5. Garayalde N. 29. Olivera E. 24. Amaro K. 22. Zabala D. 7. Martinez F. 11. Bentancourt R. (C)
Substitutes
27. Boselli J. 19. Cecchini E. 22. Chagas R. 30. Gomez G. 90. Guerrero S. 8. Izaguirre M. 23. Mas E. 26. Pereiro G. 9. Perez M. 12. Rossi N. (G)	16. Acosta L. 31. Barcelo F. 1. Bernatene M. (G) 26. Brizuela T. 18. Cayetano A. 10. Degregorio R. M. 17. de Mello G. 34. Lewis K. 9. Machado R. 8. Mir M.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Ferrin G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Roldan L. 🟨,
21', Martinez F. 🟨,
40', Garayalde N. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Peralta R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Perdomo F. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
59', Roldan L. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
59', Garayalde N. ↓, de Mello G. ↑,
63', Lago P. 🟨,
63', Olivera E. 🟨,
67', Rabino R. ↓, Mas E. ↑,
68', Lago P. ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
68', Cruz A. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Romero D. ⚽,
71', Martinez F. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
71', Zabala D. ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
73', Pernicone P. 🟨,
78', Mimbacas F. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
83', Olivera E. ↓, Cayetano A. ↑,
90+1', Perez F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Liverpool will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventud won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventud	9	3	5	1	10:6	4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool Montevideo - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.04.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.04.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cienciano	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.04.26	Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWTL
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.04.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Progreso - Liverpool Montevideo	3:3 ✺
24.03.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Central Español	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
01.11.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1
04.05.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0
20.10.19	Juventud de Las Piedras - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0
30.03.19	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1
22.11.17	Juventud de Las Piedras - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1
29.04.17	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2
22.10.16	Liverpool Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0

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