What is the expert prediction for Juventud de Las Piedras vs Cienciano?

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Juventud de Las Piedras vs Cienciano Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.75	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.35	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.56
	1.93	3.5	4.02
	2.05	3.25	3.4
	2.15	3.47	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.13)	3.4 ↓ (3.47)	3.61 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
46%

Draw
27.8%

Cienciano
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

26.9%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

25.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Juventud will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventud: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (C) 25. Mujica I. 2. Pernicone P. 5. Morosini D. 23. Mas E. 14. Roldan L. 19. Cecchini E. 21. Perez F. 26. Pereiro G. 80. Mimbacas F. 15. Cruz A.	31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 13. Nunez C. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 14. Cavero S. 88. Barreto G. 29. Robles A. 7. Souza Espana C. 10. Hohberg A. 11. Bandiera N. 21. Garces C. (C)
Substitutes
7. Alaniz A. 32. Barrios V. 27. Boselli J. 30. Gomez G. 90. Guerrero S. 8. Izaguirre M. 11. Lago P. 9. Perez M. 16. Rabino R. 28. Risso F. 12. Rossi N. (G)	26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 39. Caparo H. 1. Falcon G. (G) 16. Martinich M. 37. Rojas A. 17. Sandoval R. 19. Succar M. 27. Yovera A.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Roldan L. ⚽, Cruz A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Mujica I. ↓, Lago P. ↑,
58', Cavero S. 🟨,
63', Cavero S. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
75', Cruz A. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
76', Pereiro G. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
76', Barreto G. ↓, Rojas A. ↑,
80', Perez F. 🟨,
81', Mimbacas F. ↓, Izaguirre M. ↑,
81', Perez F. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
86', Robles A. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Garces C. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),

Preview

Juventud is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cienciano is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cienciano has had a series of home games.

Juventud is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Cienciano will win today's game, with odds of 3.37.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

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Outrights of Copa Sudamericana for now

Cienciano: 0.92% Juventud: 0.49%

Last Results with these Odds

Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.81%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Cienciano - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.25%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.04.26	Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Boston River	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
16.03.26	Danubio - Juventud de Las Piedras	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Cienciano - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Cienciano - Sport Boys	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.26	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW

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