Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 14

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)


	Juventude		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.37
	3.7	3.45	1.92
	4.1	3.55	1.98
	2.09	3.38	3.45	Watch
	3	3	2.3
	4.17	3.56	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.48)	3.38 ↑ (3.22)	2.27 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
28.1%

Draw
28.9%

Vasco da Gama
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

29.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude's form might have worsened.

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	23.8%	66.7%

Juventude - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Vasco will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 2 - 25%). Vasco (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Jandrei (G) 93. Reginaldo 23. Abner 4. Angel W. 28. Alan Ruschel (C) 16. Jadson 95. Caique Goncalves 27. Batalla E. 10. Nene 44. Mandaca 19. Gabriel Taliari	1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 25. Hugo Moura 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 3. Tche Tche 23. Thiago Mendes 77. Rayan 10. Coutinho 17. Moreira N. 99. Vegetti P. (C)
Substitutes
43. Bernardo 97. Enio 7. Gabriel Veron 8. Giraldo D. 25. Guruceaga G. (G) 32. Igor Formiga 22. Marcelo Hermes 98. Marlon 17. Matheus Babi 72. Peixoto 99. Rafael Bilu 35. Rafael Pinna	88. Cauan Barros 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 15. Garre B. 19. GB 14. Guilherme Estrella 27. Leo Jaco 29. Lucas Oliveira 44. Luiz Gustavo 37. Pablo (G) 18. Paulinho Paula 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Thiago Carpini	Fernando Diniz

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Nene (Pen),
7', Abner 🟨,
16', 2 - 0, Gabriel Taliari ⚽, Batalla E. (A),
37', Lucas Freitas 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Thiago Mendes ↓, GB ↑,
57', Vegetti P. ↓, David ↑,
57', Batalla E. ↓, Enio ↑,
57', Nene ↓, Gabriel Veron ↑,
62', Mandaca 🟨,
63', Lucas Freitas ↓, Victor Luis ↑,
65', Caique Goncalves ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
78', Reginaldo ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
78', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
86', Moreira N. ↓, Leo Jaco ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 15).

Vasco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Juventude: Cipriano (Hamstring Injury) Ewerthon (Injury) Lucas Fernandes (Inactive) Rafael Bilu (Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Injury)

There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Inactive) Rayan (Injury) Thiago Mendes (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Juventude won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.25	Vitória Salvador - Juventude	2:2 ✺
11.08.25	Juventude - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
04.08.25	Santos - Juventude	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Bahia - Juventude	3:0 ✺
24.07.25	Juventude - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
17.08.25	Santos - Vasco da Gama	0:6 ✺
10.08.25	Vasco da Gama - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.08.25	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.08.25	Mirassol - Vasco da Gama	3:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
05.10.24	Vasco da Gama - Juventude	1:1
19.06.24	Juventude - Vasco da Gama	2:0

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