Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 23

Date: 13 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Referee: Alves S. M. (Bra)


	Guarani		Juventude

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	2.75	3.25
	2.28	2.95	3.25
	2.42	2.9	3.63
	2.38	2.6	3.1
	2.45	2.78	3.45
	2.35	2.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.26)	2.8 ↓ (2.94)	3.34 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
39.1%

Draw
33.1%

Juventude
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

31.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	50%	8.3%

Guarani - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Juventude will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pegorari (G) 13. Diogo Mateus (C) 12. Alan Santos 3. Lucao 6. Mayk 5. Matheus Barbosa 18. Matheus Bueno 29. Isaque 17. Bruno Jose 9. Bruno Mendes 20. Lucas Silva	1. Thiago Couto (G) 93. Reginaldo 4. Danilo Boza 3. Ze Marcos 21. Kelvyn 95. Kady 16. Jadson 36. Vini Paulista 77. Nene (C) 34. Tite 9. Erick
Substitutes
22. Alvaro (G) 28. Bernardo 15. Eliel 14. Ivan Alvarino 21. Lucas Araujo 7. Pablo Thomaz 78. Regis 8. Robinho 16. Titi 34. Walber 23. Wenderson 30. Yan	28. Alan Ruschel 22. Daniel Bolt 39. Daniel Cruz 7. Emerson Santos 19. Fabio Gomes 12. Leo Vieira (G) 23. Luiz Gustavo 44. Mandaca 14. Robertinho 29. Ruan 32. Victor Andrade
Coaches
Louzer U.	Carpini T.

Preview

Now both teams are in good shape.

Guarani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guarani will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Juventude: David (Injury) Echapora (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Guarani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
05.08.23	Ituano - Guarani	1:1 ✺
02.08.23	Guarani - Ceará	0:0 ✺
29.07.23	Avaí - Guarani	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Guarani - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
19.07.23	ABC - Guarani	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TTWWW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
07.08.23	Juventude - Vila Nova	0:2 ✺
02.08.23	Juventude - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
29.07.23	Botafogo SP - Juventude	0:2 ✺
23.07.23	Juventude - Ceará	1:0 ✺
18.07.23	Ponte Preta - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.05.23	Juventude - Guarani	1:0
29.01.21	Guarani - Juventude	0:1

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