Match Info

Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	VOOsport World 2
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra, Ring, Voyo
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	Disney+
France	Canal+ Live 7
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Moldova	We Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Fiorentina		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.2	3.7	2.15
	3.46	3.67	2.12
	3.35	3.53	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	3.43	3.62	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.48)	3.55 ↑ (3.32)	2.11 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
28.3%

Draw
26.7%

Crystal Palace
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.6%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiorentina's form might have worsened.

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crystal Palace, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	17.4%	52.2%

Fiorentina - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (C) 5. Pongracic M. 15. Comuzzo P. 6. Ranieri L. 17. Harrison J. 8. Mandragora R. 44. Fagioli N. 21. Gosens R. 10. Gudmundsson A. 91. Piccoli R. 19. Solomon M.	1. Henderson D. (C) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 23. Canvot J. 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 18. Kamada D. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 14. Mateta J. 10. Pino Y.
Substitutes
62. Balbo L. 61. Braschi R. 53. Christensen O. (G) 64. Deli L. 80. Fabbian G. 22. Fazzini J. 23. Kospo E. 60. Kouadio E. 50. Leonardelli P. (G) 27. Ndour C. 69. Puzzoli G.	44. Benitez W. (G) 59. Cardines R. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 19. Hughes W. 11. Johnson B. 22. Larsen J. S. 8. Lerma J. 31. Matthews R. (G) 34. Riad C. 42. Rodney K. 24. Sosa B.
Coaches
Vanoli P.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Sarr I. ⚽, Munoz D. (A),
30', Wharton A. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
30', 1 - 1, Gudmundsson A. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Pino Y. 🟨,
40', Pongracic M. 🟨,
41', Lacroix M. ↓, Riad C. ↑,
45+5', Comuzzo P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mateta J. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
46', Fagioli N. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Ndour C. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
53', Sarr I. 🟨,
67', Ranieri L. 🟨,
70', Comuzzo P. ↓, Kouadio E. ↑,
70', Gosens R. ↓, Balbo L. ↑,
73', Pino Y. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
75', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
75', Solomon M. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
76', Riad C. 🟨,
87', Ndour C. 🟨,
90+1', Piccoli R. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Crystal Palace has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Fiorentina: Brescianini M. (Injury) Dodo (Yellow Cards) Fortini N. (Back Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Rugani D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Guessand E. (Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kean M. (Calf Injury) Parisi F. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fiorentina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
13.04.26	Fiorentina - Lazio	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Crystal Palace - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
04.04.26	Verona - Fiorentina	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Raków Częstochowa - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWTW
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
12.04.26	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Crystal Palace - Fiorentina	3:0 ✺
19.03.26	AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace	1:2 ET ✺
English Premier League
15.03.26	Crystal Palace - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Crystal Palace - Fiorentina	3:0

Upcoming Matches