Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Celtic		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.2
	3.25	3.5	2.25
	3.33	3.51	2.27
	3.28	3.52	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.38	3.5	2.31
	3.25	3.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 (3.24)	3.45 ↑ (3.42)	2.24 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
29.5%

Draw
27.7%

Roma
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

27.6%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	23.3%	60%

Celtic - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Roma will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Celtic (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Celtic (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Roma (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Roma (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmeichel K. (G) 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 42. McGregor C. (C) 27. Engels A. 23. Tounekti S. 41. Hatate R. 38. Maeda D. 8. Nygren B.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 22. Hermoso M. 5. Ndicka E. 19. Celik Z. 61. Pisilli N. 8. El Aynaoui N. 18. Soule M. 2. Rensch D. 11. Ferguson E. 92. El Shaarawy S. (C)
Substitutes
10. Balikwisha M. 28. Bernardo P. 51. Donovan C. 31. Doohan R. (G) 17. Iheanacho K. 24. Kenny J. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 56. Ralston A. 12. Sinisalo V. (G)	3. Angelino 31. Bailey L. 4. Cristante B. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 21. Dybala P. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 17. Kone M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 12. Tsimikas K. 43. Wesley Franca 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Nancy W.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Scales L. (Own goal), Mancini G. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Ferguson E. ⚽, Celik Z. (A),
45+1', 0 - 3, Ferguson E. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
45+4', Hermoso M. 🟨,
45+4', El Shaarawy S. 🟨,
45+4', Soule M. 🟨,
45+5', Engels A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maeda D. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
46', Nygren B. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
46', Tierney K. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
62', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
69', Soule M. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
69', Ferguson E. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
69', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
77', Hatate R. ↓, Balikwisha M. ↑,
78', Ndicka E. 🟨,
80', Hermoso M. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
85', Pisilli N. ↓, Angelino ↑,
88', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,

Preview

Celtic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Roma's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Roma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Inamura H. (Inactive) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Saracchi M. (Hamstring Injury) Simpson-Pusey J. (Inactive) Yamada S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Roma: Baldanzi T. (Inactive) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
07.12.25	Celtic - Hearts	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Celtic - Dundee	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Hibernian - Celtic	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Feyenoord - Celtic	1:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
22.11.25	St. Mirren - Celtic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Cagliari - Roma	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Roma - Napoli	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Roma - Midtjylland	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

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