Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Celtic Park (Glasgow) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, RTBF Tipik
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Iran	23:30	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	22:00	Sport 3
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 5
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 3
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Sport 24


	Celtic		Roma

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.2
	3.25	3.5	2.25
	3.33	3.51	2.27
	3.28	3.52	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.38	3.5	2.31
	3.25	3.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 (3.24)	3.45 ↑ (3.42)	2.24 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
29.5%

Draw
27.7%

Roma
42.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

27.6%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

27.5%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	23.3%	60%

Celtic - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Celtic will win (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Roma will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roma: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Celtic (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Celtic (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Roma (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roma will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Celtic (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Roma (votes: 9 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schmeichel K. (G) 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 63. Tierney K. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun 42. McGregor C. (C) 27. Engels A. 23. Tounekti S. 41. Hatate R. 38. Maeda D. 8. Nygren B.	99. Svilar M. (G) 23. Mancini G. 22. Hermoso M. 5. Ndicka E. 19. Celik Z. 61. Pisilli N. 8. El Aynaoui N. 18. Soule M. 2. Rensch D. 11. Ferguson E. 92. El Shaarawy S. (C)
Substitutes
10. Balikwisha M. 28. Bernardo P. 51. Donovan C. 31. Doohan R. (G) 17. Iheanacho K. 24. Kenny J. 14. McCowan L. 47. Murray D. 56. Ralston A. 12. Sinisalo V. (G)	3. Angelino 31. Bailey L. 4. Cristante B. 70. De Marzi G. (G) 21. Dybala P. 87. Ghilardi D. 95. Gollini P. (G) 17. Kone M. 7. Pellegrini Lo. 12. Tsimikas K. 43. Wesley Franca 24. Ziolkowski J.
Coaches
Nancy W.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Scales L. (Own goal), Mancini G. (A),
36', 0 - 2, Ferguson E. ⚽, Celik Z. (A),
45+1', 0 - 3, Ferguson E. ⚽, Soule M. (A),
45+4', Hermoso M. 🟨,
45+4', El Shaarawy S. 🟨,
45+4', Soule M. 🟨,
45+5', Engels A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Maeda D. ↓, Bernardo P. ↑,
46', Nygren B. ↓, Iheanacho K. ↑,
46', Tierney K. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
62', Yang Hyun-Jun ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
69', Soule M. ↓, Dybala P. ↑,
69', Ferguson E. ↓, Bailey L. ↑,
69', El Shaarawy S. ↓, Pellegrini Lo. ↑,
77', Hatate R. ↓, Balikwisha M. ↑,
78', Ndicka E. 🟨,
80', Hermoso M. ↓, Ziolkowski J. ↑,
85', Pisilli N. ↓, Angelino ↑,
88', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,

Preview

Celtic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Roma's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Celtic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Roma is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Inamura H. (Inactive) Johnston A. (Hamstring Injury) Jota (Knee Injury) Osmand C. (Hamstring Injury) Saracchi M. (Hamstring Injury) Simpson-Pusey J. (Inactive) Yamada S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Roma: Baldanzi T. (Inactive) Bove E. (Heart Problems) Dovbyk A. (Muscle Injury) Vasquez Llach D. S. (Inactive) Zelezny R. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
07.12.25	Celtic - Hearts	1:2 ✺
03.12.25	Celtic - Dundee	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Hibernian - Celtic	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Feyenoord - Celtic	1:3 ✺
Scottish Premier League
22.11.25	St. Mirren - Celtic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Cagliari - Roma	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Roma - Napoli	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Roma - Midtjylland	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Roma - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWW

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