The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lazio 67.8%
Draw 21%
Sampdoria 11.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
22%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
13.3%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-28.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.1%
2.1%
7.8%
Lazio - Sampdoria Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lazio will win
(127 of 141 users predict this - 90.07%). Confidence interval (95%): 85.13% – 95.01%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Lazio has the most likely position - 5 (23.63%), has project points - 64, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (30%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sampdoria has the most likely position - 19 (39.73%), has project points - 25, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality57, importance44, match rating50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lazio won 3.
Recent matches Lazio is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sampdoria is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Sampdoria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lazio is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Lazio: Radu S.
(Muscle Injury)
Romagnoli A.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Sampdoria: Conti A.
(Tendon Injury)
Pussetto I.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Lazio: Pedro
(Broken nose)
There are questionable in Sampdoria: Gunter K.
(Injury)
Murillo J.
(Injury)
Last 21 head-to-head matches Lazio won 15 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 46-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Lazio won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 29-7.
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