Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Irrati M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	CMore
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 2
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Sampdoria		Bologna

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.3
	3.4	3.15	2.25
	3.46	3.16	2.4
	3.3	3.1	2.3
	3.34	3.15	2.31	Watch
	3.35	3.2	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	3.14 ↓ (3.21)	2.32 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
28.5%

Draw
30.4%

Bologna
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

29.5%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.6%	20.7%	51.7%

Sampdoria - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Bologna will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 33.5% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 11).

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 19 (37.87%), has project points - 27, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Bologna has the most likely position - 12 (12.69%), has project points - 48, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 53, small importance 18, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 0.

Sampdoria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bologna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bologna will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Conti A. (Tendon Injury) Pussetto I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Arnautovic M. (Yellow Cards) Bagnolini N. (Shoulder Injury) Bonifazi K. (Knee Injury) Sansone N. (Foot Injury) Soumaoro A. (Injury) Zirkzee J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: De Luca M. (Knee Injury) Gunter K. (Injury)

Last 21 head-to-head matches Sampdoria won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampdoria won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
13.02.23	Sampdoria - Inter Milan	0:0 ✺
06.02.23	Monza - Sampdoria	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Atalanta - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Sampdoria - Udinese	0:1 ✺
16.01.23	Empoli - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLLL
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
12.02.23	Bologna - Monza	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Fiorentina - Bologna	1:2 ✺
27.01.23	Bologna - Spezia	2:0 ✺
23.01.23	Bologna - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
19.01.23	Lazio - Bologna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.10.22	Bologna - Sampdoria	1:1
11.04.22	Bologna - Sampdoria	2:0
07.11.21	Sampdoria - Bologna	1:2
14.03.21	Bologna - Sampdoria	3:1
22.11.20	Sampdoria - Bologna	1:2
28.06.20	Sampdoria - Bologna	1:2
27.10.19	Bologna - Sampdoria	2:1

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