Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin)

Referee: Sidiropoulos T. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
Germany	RTL
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Xtra
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Juventus		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	6
	1.57	3.8	6.5
	1.61	3.85	6.75
	1.57	3.8	6.2
	1.6	3.88	6.54
	1.6	3.75	6.5
	1.58	3.88	6.25
	1.6	3.95	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	3.84 ↑ (3.75)	6.39 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
60.1%

Draw
24.9%

Freiburg
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.4%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

24.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.6%	3.9%	9.4%

Juventus - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (110 of 127 users predict this - 86.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.69% – 92.53%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Juventus was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (59%), has a chance of semis (31%), has a chance of final (16%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Freiburg was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has big quality 72, very big importance 96, big match rating 84. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Now both teams are in good shape.

Juventus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Juventus is a favorite.

There will not play in Juventus: De Sciglio M. (Injury) Ihattaren M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kaio Jorge (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Thigh Injury) Peeters D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Illness) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
Italian Serie A
05.03.23	Roma - Juventus	1:0 ✺
28.02.23	Juventus - Torino	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.02.23	Nantes - Juventus	0:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
19.02.23	Spezia - Juventus	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.02.23	Juventus - Nantes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWT
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
04.03.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Freiburg - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Bochum - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Freiburg - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
07.02.23	Sandhausen - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TTWWW

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