The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monza 59%
Draw 28.6%
Sampdoria 12.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
27.7%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
24%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monza's performance.
Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampdoria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monza that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampdoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Monza - Sampdoria Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 41.6% โ 98.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Thiam D. (G) 4. Izzo A. 13. Ravanelli L. 3. Lucchesi L. 26. Ciurria P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 14. Obiang P. 7. Azzi P. 23. Galazzi N. 9. Maric M. 25. Alvarez A.
98. Coucke G. (G) 23. Depaoli F. 5. Riccio A. 31. Vulikic S. 18. Venuti L. 28. Abildgaard O. 16. Henderson L. 17. Hadzikadunic D. (C) 72. Barak A. 7. Cuni M. 10. Cherubini L.
Substitutes
19. Birindelli S. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 10. Caprari G. 44. Carboni A. 21. Colombo L. 28. Colpani A. 15. Delli Carri F. 33. Domanico S. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G) 16. Sardo J.
14. Bellemo A. 80. Benedetti L. 9. Coda M. 33. Conti F. 3. Coubis A. 4. Ferri J. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 21. Giordano S. 44. Ioannou N. 70. Narro V. 20. Pafundi S. 8. Ricci M.
Coaches
Bianco P.
Donati M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Izzo A. 🟨,
7', Vulikic S. 🟨,
29', Barak A. (Pen),
31', Cherubini L. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Izzo A. ↓, Birindelli S. ↑,
54', Henderson L. 🟨,
55', Ciurria P. 🟥,
59', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽,
63', Barak A. ↓, Pafundi S. ↑,
64', Vulikic S. ↓, Coda M. ↑,
64', Venuti L. ↓, Giordano S. ↑,
66', Galazzi N. ↓, Colpani A. ↑,
66', Maric M. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
77', Alvarez A. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
82', Azzi P. ↓, Carboni A. ↑,
84', Riccio A. ↓, Narro V. ↑,
88', Depaoli F. ↓, Benedetti L. ↑,
Preview
Recent performances by Monza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sampdoria is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Sampdoria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Monza is the team to beat.
There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Injury)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G.
(Knee Injury)
Ferrari A.
(Thigh Injury)
Girelli S.
(Inactive)
Malagrida L.
(Ankle Injury)
Romagnoli S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Sampdoria: Pedrola E.
(Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Monza won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
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Thiam D. (G) 
Izzo A. 
Obiang P. 
Azzi P. 
Maric M. 
Alvarez A. 
Coucke G. (G) 
Abildgaard O. 
Henderson L. 
Hadzikadunic D. (C) 
Barak A. 
Cuni M. 
Brorsson A. 
Coubis A. 
Ferri J. 
Ioannou N. 
Narro V. 
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