Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Köln		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.5	7.25
	1.46	4.5	6.75
	1.43	4.5	7.2
	1.45	4.77	7.87
	1.42	4.4	7.5
	1.47	4.75	7.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	4.56 ↑ (4.05)	7.37 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Köln
66.1%

Draw
20.9%

Arminia Bielefeld
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

23.5%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Köln's performance.

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Köln that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Köln - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Köln has the most likely position - 6 (33.15%), has project points - 52, has currently - 46, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Arminia has the most likely position - 17 (69.12%), has project points - 29, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (77%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 59, importance 35, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln won 0.

Köln is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arminia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Köln is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Köln won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German Bundesliga
16.04.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	1:3 ✺
09.04.22	Köln - Mainz	3:2 ✺
01.04.22	Union Berlin - Köln	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.22	Köln - Siegburger	8:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.03.22	Köln - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWLWT
- Arminia Bielefeld
German Bundesliga
17.04.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
09.04.22	Wolfsburg - Arminia Bielefeld	4:0 ✺
02.04.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Stuttgart	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Mainz - Arminia Bielefeld	4:0 ✺
13.03.22	Borussia Dortmund - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
04.12.21	Arminia Bielefeld - Köln	1:1
31.01.21	Köln - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1
26.09.20	Arminia Bielefeld - Köln	1:0
German 2 Bundesliga
09.03.19	Köln - Arminia Bielefeld	5:1
28.09.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Köln	1:3
Club Friendly
23.07.16	Arminia Bielefeld - Köln	2:3
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.14	Köln - Arminia Bielefeld	2:0

Upcoming Matches