The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wolfsburg 56.2%
Draw 25.6%
Arminia Bielefeld 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
24.1%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
24.4%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Wolfsburg - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
Wolfsburg has the most likely position - 14 (35%), has project points - 37, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Arminia has the most likely position - 17 (45.02%), has project points - 31, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (56%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality59, importance48, match rating53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Wolfsburg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arminia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Wolfsburg is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Watch
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